Looking at the current trend of Ethereum, indeed many people are at a loss. The problem is that as long as it doesn't break below the 2600 level, the upward potential remains limited. A more realistic situation is that breaking through the 3658 level is almost impossible, and 3500 is also uncertain. The reason is simple— we are in the third phase of a bear market. In this phase, Ethereum's trading range is basically confined between 2500 and 3500. Moving into the fourth phase, the situation will become more severe, and even reaching 3000 may be out of reach. According to the ten-phase theory of a bear market, by the tenth phase, Ethereum could be pushed down to a range of 500-1500. It sounds a bit harsh, but that's the reality of market cycles. The bull market that many people dream of every day? We’ll have to wait at least another half year or more. The situation of other mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Solana is quite similar. Instead of constantly watching for rebounds, it's better to prepare for a long-term resistance.

Today’s market rhythm was on point, honestly it’s like picking up money. Around 7 a.m., I placed a short position at 94738, and around 8 a.m., when it dropped to 93189, I closed it. With a 4 BTC position, I made a 163% profit in one move. In the afternoon, the market rebounded to 92373, I immediately reversed to a long, and when it reached 93176, I took profit again, earning an 82% gain. In between, I also caught a 47% short-term move. After a few rounds of trading, the account figures speak for themselves. Why can I keep making money? Many people think short-term trading is gambling, but the core logic is actually quite simple: don’t chase trends based on volatility. Daring to short around 94738 in the morning wasn’t because I felt confident, but because that level had been tested repeatedly before and was a clear resistance zone. Why did I go long at 92373 in the afternoon? Because it was a support area and a sign of a potential bottoming out. Every trade I make, I can explain why I took it; once the position is right, I execute. That’s trading. Market oscillations last much longer than trends. The key is to learn how to identify those true turning points. If you always follow the market’s movements blindly, it’s normal to get shaken out repeatedly. My approach isn’t mysterious—just wait, execute, and wait for the results. Grasping the market rhythm isn’t that complicated.