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Over the past week, BTC experienced a sharp pullback on the 4-hour timeframe before gradually entering a low-level consolidation phase. ETH has underperformed BTC during the same period and remains in a downside structure. NEAR has gained approximately 39.62%, making it the top performer in this cycle. Arbitrum recorded a single-sided net outflow of about $235 million, with capital primarily reallocating to Base and other ecosystems. Amid geopolitical tensions, some capital has rotated into safe-haven assets, while other funds have shifted toward on-chain macro trading and hedging strategies—reflecting portfolio rebalancing rather than a broad-based sell-off. Meanwhile, increased activity on Polymarket has driven higher Polygon fee revenue, highlighting how real-world events are accelerating the conversion of macro narratives into on-chain cash flow.

Gate Research Institute: On March 9, the market’s primary focus remains defensive. BTC’s rebound after its decline was weak, ETH managed to find support but lacked a breakout, and GT’s independence contracted, transitioning into a range-bound game. The Fear and Greed Index is at 8 (Extreme Fear), signaling a continued contraction in risk appetite. While mid- and small-cap tokens like DEGO, BABY, and MBOX saw strong upward moves, these were event-driven and based on capital rotation, without forming sustained sector-wide resonance. Key developments include the enactment of Pakistan’s "Virtual Assets Act 2026," Brickken’s involvement in Spain’s UNE standardization efforts, and Cardano’s progress on USDCx infrastructure—all indicating the industry is shifting from narrative-driven competition to long-term competition centered on regulation, standards, and settlement capabilities.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 6, BTC pulled back after briefly surging above $74,000 and is currently consolidating around $71,000; ETH retraced from a recent high near $2,190 and is now trading in the $2,070–$2,090 range; GT remains in a narrow $7.10–$7.20 consolidation zone, maintaining a recovery-driven structure. SYND became the top gainer with a +55.81% surge. Meanwhile, the RWA sector continues to gain traction as Ondo Finance secured regulatory approval in Abu Dhabi to support tokenized stocks and ETF trading; the AI agent economy is drawing attention, with stablecoins and blockchain seen as key infrastructure; and short seller Culper Research has taken a bearish position on Ethereum, arguing its latest upgrade may weaken ETH tokenomics and risk a potential “death spiral.”

Gate Research Weekly Report: On Wednesday, Bitcoin surged more than 7%, breaking above the $70,000 level, while Ethereum rose 9% to surpass $2,100, pushing the total crypto market capitalization back above $2.5 trillion. Among altcoins, EDGE jumped 81% following its listing on a Korean exchange, while MANTRA surged 54% after the official announcement of its migration from the old OM token to the new MANTRA token. Meanwhile, tensions around AI military applications escalated as Palantir criticized Anthropic’s safety restrictions, while OpenAI’s annualized revenue exceeded $25 billion, marking a 230% year-over-year increase. Arthur Hayes also warned that the recent rebound may be a “dead cat bounce,” noting that BTC has not yet decoupled from SaaS tech companies.

Gate Research: On March 4, the crypto market remained in a weak consolidation phase, with BTC and ETH trading in a narrow range after the previous pullback, while market sentiment stayed in the “extreme fear” zone. In this environment, capital has been rotating toward structural opportunities, with AI- and compute-related tokens such as PHA, AIXBT, and AKT showing relative strength, driven by narratives around confidential computing, technical rebound, and decentralized AI infrastructure. On the narrative side, AI and stablecoin infrastructure continue to draw attention. A recent study shows that 48.3% of AI decision scenarios selected Bitcoin as the preferred monetary instrument. Meanwhile, Circle launched the Nanopayments testnet, enabling ultra-small USDC payments and exploring AI agent–driven micropayment use cases. In addition, Gate introduced a TradFi trading API and adjustable leverage mechanism, further expanding its multi-asset programmatic trading infrastructure.

Gate Research: Over the past week, BTC experienced a sharp pullback on the 4-hour timeframe before gradually entering a low-level consolidation phase. ETH has underperformed BTC during the same period and remains in a downside structure. NEAR has gained approximately 39.62%, making it the top performer in this cycle. Arbitrum recorded a single-sided net outflow of about $235 million, with capital primarily reallocating to Base and other ecosystems. Amid geopolitical tensions, some capital has rotated into safe-haven assets, while other funds have shifted toward on-chain macro trading and hedging strategies—reflecting portfolio rebalancing rather than a broad-based sell-off. Meanwhile, increased activity on Polymarket has driven higher Polygon fee revenue, highlighting how real-world events are accelerating the conversion of macro narratives into on-chain cash flow.

e Research: Against the backdrop of heightened macro volatility and stronger cross-market linkage in 2026, Gate has structured macro trading into two complementary tracks and embedded it as account-level infrastructure: Gate TradFi (MT5+CFD) offers a professional on-ramp that aligns more closely with traditional rules and cost structures, while Gate Macro Perpetuals bring equities, metals, indices, FX, and commodities into a unified USDT-settled margin and risk-management framework within the futures account. As of February 11, Gate has listed 70+ macro perpetual contracts across five major asset categories; on the mechanism side, it uses Price-Hold to maintain pricing continuity during underlying market closures, and under position-splitting mode supports simultaneous long/short positions within the same market, mixed cross and isolated margin, and independent leverage settings for isolated long and short positions—thereby improving the executability of hedging, rebalancing, and strategy reuse.

Gate Research: On March 2, the crypto market continued to experience high-volatility consolidation, with BTC fluctuating around the $66,000–$67,000 range and ETH staging a recovery but failing to break out, while overall risk appetite remained subdued. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and sustained volatility in oil prices have increased macro uncertainty, with the Fear & Greed Index dropping to 10. Clear divergence emerged among small-cap and thematic tokens: SYND surged on exchange incentives and ecosystem partnership catalysts, ARC gained momentum on renewed AI narrative rotation, and CFG attracted buying interest following its listing on a Korean exchange, indicating that short-term price action is largely event-driven. On the headlines front, X lifted its ban on paid crypto promotions while strengthening disclosure requirements; SpaceX reportedly moved forward with a confidential IPO filing and disclosed holdings of 8,285 BTC; and Vitalik emphasized that AI is significantly accelerating Ethereum’s

Gate Research Daily Report: On February 27, BTC rebounded after a sharp drop to $62,501 and is now consolidating above $67,000; ETH recovered from the $1,800 level and is holding near $2,020 in a high-level range; GT is showing a rebound-driven consolidation structure; POWER led the market with a +113.53% surge, while small-cap tokens such as DENT and RAVE also posted strong gains. A suspected insider earned over $411,000 on Polymarket by betting on ZachXBT’s allegations against Axiom; claims that Jane Street “manipulated the 10 a.m. Bitcoin dump” lack data support, with analysts pointing instead to ETF authorized participant mechanics; Circle shares broke above $90, with analysts saying the stock has “clearly decoupled” from broader crypto trends, as applications like Polymarket are seen as new growth drivers for USDC.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC has reclaimed $65,000 but remains capped by resistance at $66,000–$68,500, with prices likely to range between $60,000 and $70,000 in the near term. ETH has moved back above $2,000 but continues to trade within a descending channel, facing resistance at $2,050–$2,150. Altcoin sentiment has improved, though the broader market remains in “extreme fear.” CRYPTOBURG surged on exchange listing and airdrop expectations, while MBX and POWER gained on trading momentum and speculative flows. Nvidia’s Q4 revenue rose 73% year-over-year, reinforcing the AI narrative; Bitcoin funding rates turned negative, and short liquidations intensified positioning dynamics; Jane Street faces insider trading allegations, sparking regulatory debate.

On February 25, the crypto market saw a technical rebound, but overall conditions remain range-bound and largely driven by market sentiment, with BTC and ETH showing short-term recovery while medium-term direction remains unclear. Capital continues to rotate into high-narrative assets, with ENSO, ESP, and POWER strengthening on catalysts tied to cross-chain execution infrastructure, unified interaction layers, and funding tailwinds, respectively. Structurally, Ethereum RWA market capitalization has surpassed $15 billion, signaling accelerating real-world asset tokenization, while Gate continues to укрепen its spot and derivatives market share and advance TradFi and AI trading features—highlighting infrastructure build-out and compliance as key medium- to long-term themes.

Gate Research: On February 13, BTC traded with a weak consolidation bias, briefly dipping to USD 65,230 before stabilizing and hovering in the USD 65,400–65,600 range; ETH failed to hold above USD 1,980 and pulled back, currently consolidating weakly between USD 1,910–1,930; GT retreated after a prior rebound, oscillating around USD 6.90; BTR surged +63.33% over 24 hours, becoming the market standout amid renewed Bitcoin ecosystem momentum. On the macro front, Standard Chartered lowered its long-term price targets for BTC and ETH, Vitalik emphasized that crypto applications should refocus on product fundamentals, and the acquisition of Northern Data’s mining business by entities linked to Tether executives drew market attention.

Gate Research Weekly Report: Following the sharp market sell-off, prices have entered a phase of corrective consolidation. BTC and ETH remain capped by mid-term moving averages, with rebounds lacking sufficient volume support. Within altcoins, capital has shown a tentative rotation into high-beta sectors such as AI Meme and AI Framework. Net inflows from new Bitcoin investors have turned negative, suggesting that selling pressure has yet to be fully absorbed by fresh demand. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s staking ratio has surpassed 30%, reaching a record high. While this reinforces ETH’s positioning as a yield-bearing asset, it also implies a contraction of trading liquidity, the structural implications of which warrant continued monitoring. The convergence between stablecoin infrastructure and macro interest rates is accelerating, as Zerohash advances the adoption of stablecoin payments on Layer 1 networks.

Gate Research: Over the past week, BTC entered a low-level consolidation and recovery phase following a sharp sell-off. The rebound has been capped by weak momentum and insufficient volume, pointing to a technical rebound rather than a trend reversal. ETH recorded a larger weekly decline than BTC, with deleveraging pressure more concentrated. By contrast, H has surged approximately 41.94% over the past seven days, emerging as the standout outperformer of this cycle. Meanwhile, on-chain capital flows over the past week have shown clear signs of one-sided concentration and deleveraging. Triggered by the sharp market downturn, Aave whales moved to repay loans and top up collateral under liquidation pressure, driving stablecoins and settlement capital back to the Ethereum mainnet and resulting in net inflows of approximately USD 1.1 billion.

On Feb. 9, the crypto market entered a choppy recovery phase after a deleveraging shock, with flows showing a clear structural split: capital crowding into BTC while major altcoins remain under pressure. Sentiment is deeply risk-off, with the Fear & Greed Index at just 14 (Extreme Fear). High-beta opportunities are concentrated in event-driven AI Agent and meme trades, led by BNKR, PIPPIN, and PENGUIN. On the macro and industry front, Vitalik argued that algorithmic stablecoins represent “true DeFi”; Cathie Wood said gold strength has often preceded Bitcoin’s cyclical breakouts and reiterated her “big three” thesis on BTC, ETH, and SOL; and Tether is accelerating global, diversified investments while strengthening governance and expanding hiring—signaling a faster shift from a stablecoin issuer toward a broader conglomerate model.