Ethereum (ETH) price prediction: Institutional capital inflow and Whale Coin Hoarding indicate a rebound, with the 4490 USD resistance level yet to be broken.

Despite a slight pullback in the price of Ethereum over the weekend, its fundamentals are receiving dual support from institutional capital inflows and Whale accumulation. The latest data shows strong inflows into Ethereum ETFs, with increasing institutional participation. At the same time, on-chain Whales are actively accumulating during price pullbacks, and these two behaviors together lay the foundation for Ethereum's future rebound. Although the technical indicators show a bearish descending triangle pattern in the short term, as long as it successfully breaks through the key resistance level, the price of Ethereum is expected to open a new round of pump cycle.

Institutional capital flow provides strong support for Ether

The resilience of Ethereum is attributed to the continuous capital inflow into its spot ETFs. In just the past week, the net inflow into Ethereum's spot ETFs reached $1.08 billion, with BlackRock's ETF (ETHA) contributing $968 million. These massive investments from major players like BlackRock indicate that Ethereum is being viewed as a long-term asset rather than just a short-term speculative tool.

The participation of institutions not only provides Ethereum with strong purchasing power and price stability but also integrates it into mainstream investment portfolios. The inflow of ETF funds has also attracted retail investors, who will gain confidence confirmation after witnessing large-scale adoption. This dual effect of "whale confidence + institutional capital flow" lays a solid foundation for Ethereum to achieve a more sustainable rebound after breaking through the resistance level.

Key signals driving market optimism include:

• 1.08 billion USD in ETF net inflows provides stable support for the market.
• BlackRock's active participation has accelerated institutional adoption of Ethereum.
• After institutional actions, retail investment interest is growing.

Whale accumulation indicates price recovery

During price pullbacks, large holders ("Whales") have been quietly accumulating Ether, indicating that they believe the current price holds investment value. Historically, the accumulation behavior of whales often signals a meaningful rebound in price, as these large players typically act earlier than retail investors.

Despite Ethereum's price dropping by more than 2% at one point this week, on-chain data shows that wallets holding between 1,000 to 100,000 ETH have increased their holdings by 14% over the past five months. This accumulation pattern indicates that, even in the face of short-term volatility, the "smart money" in the market remains confident in Ethereum's medium to long-term returns.

Ethereum Technical Outlook: Breakthrough Imminent

From a technical perspective, the price of Ethereum has currently formed a slightly bearish descending triangle pattern. Its price is repeatedly testing the support level of $4,250 while struggling to break through the resistance level of $4,490. This narrowing price range reflects that volatility is compressing, which is usually a precursor to a price breakout.

The short-term resistance level is at the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) $4,370, while the 200-day SMA $3,872 provides a broader anchor for the overall bullish trend. The candlestick patterns, including Doji and spinning tops, highlight the market's indecisiveness. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 44 shows subtle bullish divergence, suggesting accumulation behavior.

If it can effectively break through $4,490 with accompanying trading volume, the price of Ethereum may start to rise, targeting $4,665 and $4,865, thus completing the triangular structure. Conversely, if it cannot hold the $4,250 support, there is a risk of falling to $4,070 and $3,940, with the 200-day SMA at $3,872 becoming the final structural support.

Conclusion

Ethereum's next move may depend on this technical breakthrough. Although institutional demand and whale activity provide a strong bullish foundation, caution should still be exercised before the price truly breaks upward. If Ethereum can successfully challenge the resistance level of $4,490, it will not only confirm a bullish trend but may also initiate a larger rebound, further solidifying its position as the leading smart contract platform in the digital economy.