Many people believe that AI integration into prediction markets is an efficiency revolution, but in the eyes of traders, this is purely “logical poisoning.”

The savage transfer of pricing power burden: forcing the market to price a “second-order latent variable.” Traders not only need to judge the event P(A), but also need to judge the model parser's P(B).
This is not prediction; it’s fortune-telling about the “personality flaws” of LLMs.
Disappearing idempotency: don’t be superstitious