Polaris_xbt

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$BTC Dominance
When you zoom out on BTC.D and compare the current sentiment and price action with previous cycle, the similarities become very clear.
In late 2019, Bitcoin spent months grinding lower at a slow pace together with BTC dominance. That environment eventually led to a final spike in BTC.D, which marked the transition into the #Altseason and market top.
A similar scenario is possible with the current market structure.
The key condition for this to play out is Bitcoin reclaiming the 101k level (weekly FVG I mentioned earlier today). A reclaim of that level would challenge the traditi
BTC3,48%
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$FET
Broke the HTF trendline.
Will take 1 trade with half the size here and add another half upon reclaim of 0.43.
FET11,21%
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$BTC yearly outlook
We get a strong rebound in Q1.
What happens after depends on the monthly FVG.
🔸If it holds and BTC starts breaking down from ~100k I will start derisking significantly.
🔸If it breaks and BTC starts closing above that means that 4 year cycle is a myth and we are likely entering a final euphoric extension where we actually get the proper altseason.
BTC3,48%
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$DOGE
The final support for DOGE/BTC.
If we lose this we are back in pre 2020 range and you can kiss goodbye to memes for a good while...
DOGE1,28%
BTC3,48%
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Altcoins bottom 350-400 days after they top.
It's been 385 days since altcoin topped in December of 2024.
Even though it does not look like bear market looking at $BTC, the 2025 definitely was a bear market year for altcoins... and the bottom is very, very close.
BTC3,48%
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$BTC
Here's an interesting statistics for you...
Three day divergences on Awesome Oscillator play out 89% of times.
BTC3,48%
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$ETH
This is not an area to sell Ethereum.
This is one of the strongest zones to accumulate.
The amount of sidelined stablecoin liquidity is approaching historical highs. With QE coming that capital will not stay idle. It will flow into risk assets.
Ethereum will be one of the primary beneficiaries.
ETH2,91%
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N98ApocalypseStarvip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
$AVAX
I have stacked limit orders from 13.1 to 12.1.
SL is 11.3
Looks stronger than most alts so it could lead the pump into the Q1 if we get it :)
AVAX1,27%
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$XPL
Log channel broken after 2 months of desperation.
Time to look for longs with invalidation being acceptance back inside the channel... in other words, candle close below 0.12.
XPL-0,31%
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Starting the new year with something useful - Backtesting
I decided to pick simple stuff that everybody has access to and that is easy to interpret.
First and foremost you all know about RSI and how to look for divs... but in backtesting and trading it is preferable to remove every ounce of subjectivity so we will use RSI indicator that automatically displays bull/bear divs. This way you won't have to ask yourself is this a div or not, are the peaks too far apart etc...
The RSI indicator we will use is:
RSI Divergences (author is domenicosilletti).
Settings are showed in the chart below.
So wh
BTC3,48%
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Total 3 – Stables
#Altcoins marketcap is essentially one gigantic range with the 2022 bear market acting as a clear deviation.
We attempted twice to break through the range high but failed, which opens the door for a potential revisit toward the range low. Before that happens, sentiment likely needs to reset. A slow drift into eternal pain feels unlikely without a wave of renewed optimism first.
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$ETH
Not much to act upon here.
We are literally in the middle of the range...
Potential setup opens up if we sweep the trendline liquidity at the local lows. Other than that... patience
ETH2,91%
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Total Stablecoin Dominance
Looks like a local top to me.
We should be seeing some sort off a rally in the coming weeks on both $BTC and $ETH
BTC3,48%
ETH2,91%
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$UNI
Since 2022, the monthly level is the only thing needed for this chart.
Now it looks even better with a sweep of bear market low and instant reclaim.
Worth accumulating imho
UNI1,12%
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$MON
One of the better looking altcoin charts out there on a lower timeframe.
Looks like we have a local bottom and imho as long as green zone holds we are good.
Solid place to DCA some. Invalidation is daily close below 0.021
MON-2,25%
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GateUser-cd672feevip:
Christmas Bull Run! 🐂
$ETH
When you check the volume profile you can see that ETH has retraced back to the weekly fvg which coincides with a major gap on volume profile.
Price tends to rebalance before making a decisive move... these zones are often the best confirmation entries one can get.
ETH2,91%
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$BTC / Stables
When you divide BTC Marketcap with Stablecoin marketcap you get a clean image of this breakdown:
We are at the very bottom of the bull market range
🔸Above = bull continues
🔸Below = bear market confirmation
For now we are at a support and RR favours longs
BTC3,48%
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$HYPE
Very nice ltf price action.

If we see some strength in the coming days, a push through 27 is a clean buy signal.
HYPE4,42%
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$SOL
Swing long from value area low.
Not a place to panic sell imho... this is the last place where longs make sense... if this gives in, it is over for sol for quite awhile.
SOL3,72%
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