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Are institutions and big players also unable to hold on? They are starting to deposit Bitcoin and ETH into exchanges!
In just 24 hours, there was a net inflow of 1930 Bitcoins, which means nearly 200 million USD worth of Bitcoin might be used to sell off!
Is this to cut losses or for holiday spending? Actually, you can't trust institutions too much; many times, institutions are also just bigger little guys.
The European and American Christmas holidays will end gradually from January 4-6. During this period, without capital support, even a small sell-off can cause a big drop. During this period
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MorningSunvip:
Waiting for 30,000
The rebound of BTC and ETH may be coming to an end, as the weekly level decline continues, and the market has not improved, but the data is already overbought.
Already occurred / Market digested: US CPI → No further deterioration, European & UK central banks → Neutral stance, Bank of Japan → No sudden hawkish turn.
There is a possibility of a rebound after a period of consolidation at a high level, but the current upward movements are opportunities for shorting and profit-taking. BTC is first looking at 85,000, then 80,000, while ETH is at 2,740 and 2,500, unless BTC can break through and stab
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Christmas is coming soon, and it looks like a Christmas crash is inevitable, with a plunge brewing.
Bitcoin has already broken through $85,000, just waiting for $80,000. Where will the deadly dip occur? Can the previous low of $74,000 hold?
Most altcoins have already been wiped out, and the next 90% of coins will go to zero. When Bitcoin falls below $85,000 and it's not a leading coin, just cut your losses and sell.
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Although late, but finally here. Currently in a position that is neither here nor there, any major financial event triggers sharp fluctuations.
Although the US CPI is positive, it’s of little use. BTC held for 3 hours and then dropped, just as predicted this afternoon: short-term rebound, medium-term still bearish. Now every rebound is an opportunity to short and sell.
The market here still needs a violent shakeout to completely crush hope! No one dares to call for a big bull run.
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BTC and ETH are now in a "weak oversold sideways consolidation in a downtrend," which is a typical downtrend continuation;
Although there are short-term rebound conditions, the medium-term structure remains bearish; the true direction depends on the five major economic events announced intensively over the next two days, as mentioned in the previous tweet. The most influential are tonight at 9:30 PM US CPI data (if the data exceeds expectations, expect further decline) and tomorrow at 11:00 AM Japan interest rate decision (likely rate hike, continue to fall);
The current volume-consolidation i
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This wave of the Heaven and Earth Needle insertion is well done! First lure the short, then lure the long, and then a sharp drop!
In the past two days, five major data releases have been announced, making it a tumultuous autumn:
Thursday the 18th
20:00, Bank of England interest rate decision
21:15, European Central Bank interest rate decision
21:30, US CPI data release;
Friday the 19th
11:00, Bank of Japan interest rate decision;
21:30, PCE data release;
Next, it depends on whether Bitcoin can hold at 80,000–82,000 USD. This has been the main accumulation zone for the past two years. If it can
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#交易机器人# I am using the ETHUSDT contract grid bot on Gate, with a total return since creation of +153.38%
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Continues to big dump! The only question now is: when will Bitcoin fall below 100,000?
On September 5th, when the non-farm data was released, I mentioned: interest rate cuts and big dumps are two different things!
Even after the interest rate cuts take effect, there may be another fall until no one dares to call it a bull market, which is the true beginning of a big dump!
Bitcoin is about to fall to the first support level mentioned earlier: 108500 USD, while ETH is set to fall to the second support level: 3830 USD;
There has been talk of a fall this month, but now it has really continued to b
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ETH daily chart, breaking down, showing weakness, plunging below the lower band of the Bollinger Bands and the lower edge of the range, which is a weaker trend than BTC. The MACD death cross is widening, indicating very strong downward momentum.
The daily chart has already shown a head pattern risk, and the previous high-level fluctuations now have the risk of evolving into a "head and shoulders top" or "M top" pattern, which is a potential medium-term bearish formation.
On the 4-hour level, there is a waterfall-like fall, the pattern is similar to BTC, but steeper, showing extremely heavy sel
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The market has now fallen below the trend, and the reasons have been mentioned: although the Fed has lowered interest rates, its "hawkish rate cut" stance (implying a slowdown in future rate cuts) has shattered the market's fantasy of continuous and significant liquidity easing.
The recent market fall is typical of being triggered by changes in macro sentiment, followed by a significant drop below key support levels that triggered programmatic selling and leveraged liquidations, forming a negative feedback loop of "fall-explosion-further fall," which exacerbated the downward trend.
From a
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ETH is currently weakly following the fluctuations of BTC, making it difficult to have an independent market trend. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing and flattening, and after the MACD golden cross, it has become consolidated with consecutive small bearish lines, indicating a lack of active buying funds. The rebound is weak and requires strong market support to get out of the mire; on the 4-hour chart, short positions are dominant, with the MACD death cross below the zero axis, and the Bollinger Bands are narrowing downwards, clearly indicating that the short-term trend is
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In less than 9 hours, the Fed's interest rate decision and press conference will arrive, which is the most crucial event determining the direction of the global market for the foreseeable future, without exception.
The market has almost fully priced in a rate cut in September, with the focus on three aspects:
Interest Rate Decision: A cut of 25 basis points or 50 basis points? In line with expectations or exceeding expectations?
Dot Matrix: What guidance is there for interest rate cuts this year and beyond?
Powell's speech: Is the tone "dovish" (implying continued rate cuts) or "hawkis
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ETH has been relatively weak recently, and the ETH/BTC Exchange Rate is under continued pressure. Looking at the daily chart, the consecutive two days of higher trade volumes with long upper shadow bullish doji is a strong hesitation signal.
The short-term market is anchored to the US CPI data to be released tomorrow at 8:30 PM. Before the data is announced, it is expected to fluctuate between $4,250 and $4,380. If the data is positive, it may push ETH to attempt a breakout at $4,400, but the $4,450 - $4,500 range is a stronger resistance area that requires significantly higher trade volumes t
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At 8:30 PM tonight and 8:30 PM tomorrow, the US August PPI and CPI will be released in succession, along with the European Central Bank interest rate decision announcement tomorrow at 8:15 PM. The market may be at a point of direction selection.
At that time, the oscillation range of $110,000 - $113,500 may be broken; in the past two weeks, Bitcoin has continuously hovered around $113,500, forming three daily upper shadows, indicating strong selling pressure in this area, which is an important resistance zone.
If tomorrow night's CPI data is higher than expected or remains stable, the mark
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If it falls below 100,000, first watch if BTC can hold at 98,000 and if ETH can hold at 3,880! As long as it holds, the bull run is still on, and there will be opportunities to enter a position!
Some may ask: Isn't the dealer's fall just giving money to retail investors?
Then you are mistaken about the dog dealer; the dog dealer is least afraid of you bottom-fishing or of you making money temporarily.
Today I was chatting with an industry expert about this issue, and one of his viewpoints perfectly answers the question: what the big players fear the most is not that retail investors ma
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8:30 may be a market turning point, after so many days of fluctuations, it's time.
Of course, the overall market is still looking bearish and expecting a correction. In fact, before Powell made his remarks, he had mentioned that Bitcoin hitting 100,000 and ETH 4,000 was very likely to happen; it was just that Powell's comments delayed this situation. As shown in the figure below.
Short-term resistance for BTC is $112,900, with support below at $107,000 and $105,500; short-term resistance for ETH is $4,480 and $4,520, with support below at $4,200 and $4,100;
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The ETH daily chart is under pressure from the middle band of Bollinger Bands. The 4-hour MACD green bars are weakening and turning red, with DIF and DEA located below the zero axis, indicating that momentum has not fully strengthened. Key support is at 4300; the resistance level above is at 4600-4650. Currently, the market is more about repair than trend reversal, leaning bearish in the short term, but there will be a rebound at the key support level.
The fluctuation range of ETH in the next two to three days is between $4,250 and $4,650.
As mentioned earlier, the current fundamental issue is
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After a brief rebound, Bitcoin continues to fall today and is currently near a key support area, with the possibility of continuing to fluctuate and test the bottom in the short term.
In another 30 minutes, the US core PCE data will be released, with expectations leaning bearish. However, the month-on-month data supports the expectation of a rate cut in September (September 17 rate decision), which may lead to increased short-term volatility — if the data is bearish, it may test the 108,000 USD support, and if the rate cut expectation is strengthened, it may trigger a rebound.
In the short ter
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