Crypto_Xincheng

📈 As a cryptocurrency investor, what mindset should you maintain to face the current stage and market conditions?
Facing the current market conditions in March 2026, with BTC hovering around $70,000, total market cap at approximately $2.4T, and a decline of over 40% from the 2025 peak, the most important thing is to maintain clarity, patience, and long-term conviction. This is not a "crash," but a typical correction/bottom-building phase after a bull market—macroeconomic pressures (geopolitical tensions, Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, deleveraging) create short-term volatility, but susta

Saylor stated that MicroStrategy currently holds 762,099 BTC with an average cost of $75,694. The current price is $70,000, which is lower than MicroStrategy's cost basis. Even if you buy in now, your cost would be lower than MicroStrategy's.
Current prices are being manipulated in coordination with negative news released by whales and geopolitical issues, causing repeated washouts to force retail traders to sell their chips at low prices. This aligns with the bear market washout stages I shared with everyone yesterday. So while prices appear to be falling and retail market sentiment is extrem

Summary: Gold is about to welcome short-term opportunities, with wide-range oscillations at high levels
Asian markets have been hoarding oil like crazy these past few days. #92 gasoline has already risen to 9.4 yuan, and people can't afford to fill up anymore
Gold has also sharply retreated accordingly. This pullback is mainly due to some institutions rebalancing their portfolios, shifting from gold to higher-yield bonds/cash. Although central bank gold purchases are still ongoing, the scale has slowed compared to peak years, weakening the price support effect
Gold right now is not about lack

Bitcoin is about to go to $20W
BTC is currently in a relay decline after wave 2, wave 3 decline is about to appear. After wave 3 decline completes, there will be a shock consolidation and then a direct thrust to $20W
But there's still a long way to go in the short term, hold #uadt and wait

Gold experienced its largest single-week decline in 43 years, mainly due to:
①The Middle East US-Iran conflict (Strait of Hormuz/Persian Gulf) causing energy prices to surge, driving up global inflation expectations; the escalation of the conflict severely disrupts oil transportation, leading to a sharp increase in supply chain costs.
②Major global central banks collectively adopting a hawkish stance, significantly reducing expectations for rate cuts, with the market lowering the projected number of rate cuts in 2026 from two to one or even fewer.
③Previous gains were excessive, combined w

💹 Life's Wealth Accumulation Depends on Kondratiev Cycles
According to mainstream Kondratiev cycle analysis, 2026 is currently at the tail end of the depression phase of the Fifth Kondratiev Cycle (driven by information technology/internet), while simultaneously marking the beginning or eve of the recovery/expansion phase of the Sixth Kondratiev Cycle (driven by AI + new energy + biotechnology as core drivers). This is a typical window for old-to-new growth driver transition, often referred to by many as "darkness before dawn" or "critical node in cycle transition."
Zhou Jinzhao and other cyc

Nasdaq Poised for a "Crash" 📉
I've been warning across major platforms that the U.S. stock market has topped out since 24K. Looking back, all my predictions have come to pass as expected.
The last pullback was 25%, and this wave is also expected to be around 25%, so watch the 18K-20K range for U.S. stocks next.
🤌What impact does a major U.S. stock market correction have on cryptocurrency?
Bitcoin is now essentially like tech stocks in the U.S. market. Over the past year-plus, the correlation coefficient between BTC and the Nasdaq has frequently fluctuated between 0.5-0.8, and has even hit 0.

Investing is not a game in which a person with an IQ of 160 beats a person with an IQ of 130. It's a game in which discipline beats intelligence.
——Warren Buffett

OpenAI Plans to Launch Desktop Super App
Based on currently available information, the core strategy of this super app is to combine the following elements:
① ChatGPT's chat/multimodal interaction interface
② Codex (now leaning more toward advanced coding tools/IDE integration)
③ Atlas browser (their AI-native browser launched late last year)
④ Native integration of Agent/AI agent capabilities, allowing AI to autonomously operate on user computers and execute closed-loop tasks (such as writing code → running → debugging → analyzing based on real-time webpage data)
Essentially, it's moving in t

# Beautiful Country Labor Department Just Announced Initial Jobless Claims for the Week Ending March 14
**Actual value: 205,000 people** – significantly lower than the market expectation of 215,000 and also below the previous week's 213,000. This is a clearly strong employment data that beat expectations, indicating the U.S. labor market has strong resilience with layoff scales much smaller than anticipated.
## Impact on Cryptocurrency:
① **Reduced Rate Cut Expectations (Hawkish Signal):** Strong employment data means the economy doesn't need emergency stimulus, increasing the likelihood that

BTC
Yesterday, there was a rapid pullback before the interest rate decision was announced.
Over the past two days, BlackRock has been continuously depositing Bitcoin to exchanges, which has also triggered panic sentiment in the market.
Currently, this position is a particularly important short-term level at the 69500 support. If this level is breached, the next support will be around 66300. The key thing to watch now is whether the 1-hour chart can oscillate to the right around 69500. If so, it will repair the MACD zero-line rebound. Then watch whether the 71600 level above can break through.

BlackRock has deposited another 930 BTC and 12,687 ETH into Cb.
70K is about to fall below, with the next target at 68K–66K.
#美联储维持利率不变

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Dot Plot Summary Released at 2:00 AM Beijing Time:
The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% unchanged (median approximately 3.625%), with voting results of 11-1 (one member supported an immediate rate cut), in line with 100% market expectations.
⭐️Dot Plot:
End of 2026: 3.4% (approximately 0.225 percentage points lower than current median, corresponding to one 25bp rate cut)
End of 2027: 3.1%
End of 2028: 3.1%
Long-term neutral rate: 3.1% (increased 0.1 percentage points from December 2025)
(2026: 1 rate cut, l

# How Should We Approach Our Mindset on Cryptocurrency Given Current Conditions and Market Trends?
This is a transition from "technical analysis" to "mindset building" — the most critical step in navigating the current complex landscape. In this highly uncertain macro environment (war, stagflation, hawkish Fed), preserving capital and mental health is more important than pursuing gains.
During this special period of "macro headwinds + geopolitical volatility" in 2026, I recommend establishing the following mindsets:
**① Acknowledge "unpredictability," embrace "extreme conservatism"**
The curre

March 19 (Thursday) 2:00 AM - Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision to be Announced
Previous: 3.75% Forecast: 3.75%
The market has 100% priced in that this meeting will neither raise nor cut rates, with the benchmark rate remaining unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%; however, the true epicenter lies in the subsequent "dot plot" and Powell's speech. Influenced by stagflation risks triggered by Middle East geopolitical tensions, this meeting will likely release "hawkish" signals.
The real market dynamics are not about the rate change itself, but rather how the Federal Reserve views "a future disrupted

Crypto market sentiment has improved slightly, but is it about to be dumped by whales again?
Indeed, bull market rallies in bear markets are just better opportunities to exit positions.
In summary, whether from macro, technical, or policy perspectives, we cannot determine that we've already emerged from the bear market. Simply put, none of these are sufficient to support a reversal in the market.
At this stage, patient dollar-cost averaging, adjusting your mindset, and consistently earning cash flow is the way to go.