CafeMinor

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Outlook 2026: Slightly Narrowed Rate Cut Space Forecast
According to analysts at BlackRock, including Dominique Vien and colleagues, will the Fed be able to maintain the pace of monetary easing seen in recent years? The answer is no.
The strategists at the world's largest asset management firm have issued an important statement: from 2026 onwards, the Federal Reserve will significantly limit the frequency and scale of rate cuts. This has profound implications when considering the current context.
**Why is the rate cut space narrowing?**
In the current easing cyc

**Can Prediction Markets Become a Rational Shield Against Social Media's "Mad Rhetoric"?**
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently shared an interesting observation on Farcaster: in an era flooded with exaggerated claims and panic-mongering on social media, prediction markets are playing an increasingly important role as "truth calibrators."
**The Imbalance of Incentives on Social Media**
On platforms like X, the cost of creating sensational content is extremely low. Take the example of the UK civil war—some KOLs post claims that "a UK civil war is inevitable" to attract attention, but th

**Ethereum Spot ETF Market Shows Significant Outflow Signals**
Market data from SoSoValue reveals a notable shift in Ethereum spot ETF dynamics on January 9 (Eastern Time). The broader Ethereum ETF ecosystem experienced substantial capital movements, with total net redemptions hitting $93.8151 million during the 24-hour period—signaling potential investor caution or profit-taking activity.
**BlackRock's ETHA Leads Outflow Activity**
Among all Ethereum spot ETF products, BlackRock's ETHA captured the largest redemption volume yesterday, registering a single-day net outflow of $83.7783 million.