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Looking at the Ethereum market, the situation is not very optimistic. Increased volume led to a break below all short-term moving averages, the MACD indicator remains in negative territory with signs of widening, and the bearish momentum is still continuing.
Over the weekend, U.S. stocks were closed with no external buying support; next week, the Bank of Japan's rate hike is virtually certain, which will trigger a large-scale unwinding of yen carry trades. Global risk assets will face liquidity drainage pressure.
From a technical perspective, it is expected to first test the 3000 level at the
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0xOverleveragedvip:
When the Bank of Japan makes a move, global assets have to suffer along, I've seen this pattern many times

Don't ask me how I know, it was the same last time, with heavy losses...

This 2600 level really must not be broken; if it is, I'll liquidate everything and just relax
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#以太坊行情技术解读 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The Federal Reserve has launched a $40 billion government bond purchase program, and the signals this "big move" sends are worth paying attention to.
Historically, whenever the Federal Reserve opens the liquidity gate, capital tends to seek new investment outlets. The 50 basis point rate cut in September 2024 once attracted a large inflow of hot money into high-quality Asian assets, and the stock market also heated up. How large and paced this round of operations will be could determine whether crypto assets can once again become a focus of capital attention.
Interest
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LiquidityWitchvip:
ngl the fed's liquidity alchemy is brewing something dark... 40b injection hitting different this time around
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The short position strategy at this crucial level of 3400 presents significant opportunities. Previously, some friends established short positions at high levels, and now they are being reactivated. This wave of market movement indeed offers many entry opportunities. From the price action, the selling pressure at this level remains quite substantial.
For traders who already hold positions, increasing leverage on floating gains is a good approach, using profits to add to positions with relatively controlled risk. This doubling strategy often proves more effective when the trend is clear. The ke
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RektButAlivevip:
This level at 3400 is really interesting; the bears are indeed gathering strength.

I do believe in the strategy of increasing positions with floating gains, provided the direction is correctly judged... By the way, whether the volume supports it is the key.

Brothers who missed out, don't be too regretful—oscillations are just opportunities to make money.
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Made some practical tests on the fee cost issue when copying large amounts. Since many simulation platforms do not include fee calculations, I ran a dedicated simulator with the data. Currently, it is the 1st day, and the total return is close to 3%, but today’s market data has not been fully incorporated into the statistics yet. The main purpose of this experiment is to see how the actual returns of the copy trading strategy perform under continuous fee deductions. @BTC@ and @JELLYJELLY@ are within the observation range. Subsequent updates will include complete 24-hour data feedback, which sh
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To be honest, it took me years to figure it out.
The truly dangerous moment in the crypto world has never been a liquidation.
It's that one profitable trade.
I still remember my first double of principal.
Starting with 4000U, I went all the way to 8000U.
That night, my mind was dreaming the whole time.
With my eyes closed or open, the only thought was "double again."
And what happened the next day?
I suddenly doubled down and went all in.
My account linearly dropped to 2800U.
I didn't go crazy, but my heart really sank.
Is it funny?
Quite funny.
But 90% of people have died like this.
Later, my
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GasFeeBarbecuevip:
Wow, this is exactly how I see myself. That night I doubled my money from 4000 to 8000, and I also went all in with my head all over the place. As a result, I lost more than 3000... Now I finally get it. I feel like I've been reshaped completely.
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#数字资产生态回暖 The bearish momentum is indeed strong this wave, so I added to my short positions for the second time. Ethereum dropped from 3215 to 3093, a straight drop of 122 points, earning 13,394 oil.
Honestly, trading is just about avoiding going all-in at once. Our simple logic is—plan your position size, set stop-losses, and manage risk well. Whether a single trade makes profit or loss, it doesn’t really affect the overall performance for the year. The key is to survive long and earn steadily.
$BTC $ETH $SOL Everyone has a chance in this cycle, but you must think clearly about the exit plan
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AirdropHunterWangvip:
Oh wow, this short position is really comfortable, but I think we still need to see if it can hold up afterwards.
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#美联储降息 Stability is the key to victory. Over many years in the crypto market, those who survive and continue to profit are all supported by consistent stable performance. The recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve is exactly a test. $BTC $XRP $BNB How have these mainstream coins performed in the past few days? Interested friends, let's talk and find opportunities together, turning this year's investment goals into action.
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HashRateHustlervip:
Interest rate cuts are here, only those who can withstand this wave of market will truly succeed.

Speaking of which, XRP has been up to some tricks these days. Who can predict it accurately?

The "stability" narrative has been heard countless times, but it's hard to endure.

BTC is still grinding, it feels like there’s not much big movement.

Where are the opportunities? I can't seem to see them.

BNB dropped quite sharply today, feeling exhausted.

Holding coins for so long, I’ve become immune. Just go with the flow.

As soon as the interest rate cut concept was announced, the retail investors started to get restless again.

Those who truly survive are the ones who didn't chase the highs.
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I recently spent a week in Bhutan and witnessed firsthand what the world looks like when the internet goes down.
Most blockchains assume that users can access the internet anytime—how fragile is this assumption? Bhutan gave me the answer. The steep Himalayan terrain, inconsistent signal, cross-border telecom operators... These real-world factors make it instantly clear how deep the gap is between theoretical assumptions on paper and reality.
Bhutan continues onward... Only when the internet truly disappears can you see the real limitations of blockchain. Remote areas with poor infrastructure a
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#美联储降息 As the blockchain shifts from merely digital assets to trillion-dollar real-world assets (RWA) and complex AI decision-making, a sharp question emerges: Are the existing oracle architectures truly sufficient?
The answer is—far from enough. Traditional oracles only address the relatively simple problem of "on-chain price data," but to evolve to the next stage, blockchain needs a system capable of verifying the "trustworthiness of complex real-world data." This is precisely what the next-generation decentralized oracle aims to achieve.
Looking at some specific application scenarios makes
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NFTRegrettervip:
The oracle ceiling hasn't really been broken through in recent years. Now that we're working on RWA, we realize that the previous architecture was just a toy.
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This morning at 8:00 AM (UTC), the cryptocurrency derivatives market will experience a wave of large option expirations—alone, there are $3.67 billion in Bitcoin options contracts set to expire.
From the open interest structure, the put/call ratio for BTC options is 1.1, indicating that the bearish forces slightly outweigh the bullish ones, but the divergence isn't particularly large. The most interesting point is that the Max Pain price is pinned at the $90,000 mark—this often suggests that market makers may have accumulated significant liquidity around this level.
At the same time, another m
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MercilessHalalvip:
The 90,000 level is indeed suspicious; market makers might be laying in wait.
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#以太坊行情技术解读 Hong Kong Virtual Asset ETF Sees a Turning Point, with the First Spot ETF Approved by the CSRC and Listing on the HKEX Next Week. This is not just about regulatory approval but the opening of a genuine capital channel.
There are three key aspects of this core change to note:
First, the compliance allocation channel is launching. Through Stock Connect and international institutional funds, investors can directly allocate BTC and ETH via this ETF. Real capital inflows are imminent, transforming the previous landscape.
Second, the attitude in Asia is shifting. As a global financial hub
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WalletDetectivevip:
Hmm... The HKEX move is indeed quite aggressive, but can mainland capital really step in?

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The compliance channel has opened, but the key still depends on when institutional funds will truly start to bet.

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Once again, it's an Asian attitude shift. We said the same last year. How long can this persistence last?

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Physical redemption and subscription are more attractive than US ETFs, but can the trading depth keep up?

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A new cycle? It still feels like we're confirming the bottom repeatedly. Don't overinterpret.

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This is the real influx of incremental funds; previously, it was all about stockpile battles.

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Hong Kong dollar settlement stablecoin... It might just be another regulatory testing ground.

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It will be listed next week. Institutional layout has already begun; retail investors will always be the last to join.

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After waiting so long, finally seeing the compliance excuse, but will it just be a repeat?
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I saved for over a year to accumulate more than 10,000 yuan, planning to pay off online loans after saving enough. However, due to a misoperation, I bought a small coin with only 100U, and immediately lost tens of dollars. Thinking of breaking even and recovering, I kept buying on the rise and the fall, but both times I exploded. When I had small wins, I only earned a dollar or two, which couldn't cover the transaction fees for the trading pairs.
Later, the more I thought about it, the more I lost. I tried to rely on frequent trading to recover, but I didn't expect each transaction fee to eat
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CexIsBadvip:
This is a classic death spiral; frequent operations can't save it at all.
#以太坊行情技术解读 $ETH $BTC $BNB
It's time to wake up! Last night, Wall Street broke down its own wall, and the chasm between traditional finance and crypto has been completely bridged.
Two events just occurred that are reshaping everyone's wealth landscape: the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved DTCC (Wall Street's major asset custodian) to turn government bonds and stocks into on-chain tokens; shortly after, U.S. banks announced upcoming Bitcoin collateralized loan products.
In simple terms, that heavy wall has been manually knocked down by those who built it. On one side, trillions o
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just_another_walletvip:
Wait, is Bank of America really about to launch Bitcoin-backed loans? That's crazy, Wall Street has truly turned.

The Yen interest rate hike is indeed easy to overlook; the return of arbitrage funds could really trigger a major market move.

It feels different this time, not just hype, but the infrastructure is truly connecting.

If you're still hesitating about entering, you might really regret it.

After such a long consolidation, it's actually waiting for a breakout signal, and now the signal has appeared.

The Federal Reserve has no room to cut rates, so we need to keep a close eye on liquidity rebalancing during that week.

Transforming from a challenger into the system itself—this switch of identity is too crucial.

However, we still need to be cautious of profit-taking and sudden crashes when good news is realized.

This is indeed a momentous turning point, not just a matter of price.
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#加密生态动态追踪 Buffett's recent words are worth pondering: "The natural selection of governments is to make currency increasingly worthless."
It's a real kick—the dollar is depreciating, yet new dollars are being printed. This isn't complex economics; it's basic supply and demand. More and more money, and each note becomes thinner.
In contrast, assets like $BTC, $ETH, $SOL have limited supply or controlled inflation. When traditional currencies quietly shrink, the scarcity of these coins becomes more valuable. That’s why more and more people are starting to seriously consider crypto assets—rather
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OnchainDetectiveBingvip:
Buffett is right, but he's still accumulating US dollars himself. Isn't that a bit contradictory?
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#数字资产生态回暖 Friday's market performance was strong, and I caught several rebound opportunities for new coins. Turning a wave is just eating meat; such moments can't be missed — market opportunities are fleeting. Bitcoin surged by 2000 points, while altcoins also followed with a 60-point increase. A single operation directly earned a profit of 16,000.
In this rebound, $TNSR, $ZEC, $COAI all showed significant performance. As long as you keep up with the rhythm, the volatility in the crypto market can turn into opportunities.
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ETHmaxi_NoFiltervip:
Friday's surge was really strong, but I'll still wait for now... afraid of taking the final hit.
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#数字资产生态回暖 Everyone, the short positions have entered the market as planned.
The logic is actually not complicated. The 4-hour structure has not yet reversed, and the rebound volume has been unable to keep up, typical of a retracement in a downtrend. Key resistance levels above repeatedly suppress the rally; each time it bounces up, selling pressure pushes it down, indicating that there is no strength among the bulls.
Both RSI and MACD show clear signals of waning momentum; the indicators are clearly fading. Looking at the larger timeframe — the dollar's strength is not over yet, market risk se
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HalfIsEmptyvip:
Actually, this wave of the dollar still isn't over. Lack of momentum is a signal.

Every rebound gets hammered down; the short-selling approach isn't a bad idea.

How should I put it, entering with a light position is still safer, risk control is the most important.

RSI has become so dull, the bulls really lack strength.

This environment is just the rhythm for shorting. Keep following the market trend.
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#以太坊行情技术解读 Grasping the swing行情 well, entering at the lows and exiting at the highs, following the rhythm makes profits easy. Returns are something that need to be spoken with data.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
Pay close attention to Ethereum's trend.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip:
Swing trading sounds easy, but few actually survive; loss control is always the top priority.
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Someone asked me: I have 3,000 yuan and want to multiply it by 100 to reach 1 million. How should I do it?
Honestly, when I first entered the market, I thought the same way. But I must honestly say—stop relying on that "10% stable monthly return, compounded doubling" logic. This approach has almost zero chance of helping you make it to a million.
This is the crypto world, not a bank fixed deposit. To achieve a leap in wealth, what do you need? Big cycles, precise timing, and capturing the golden windows of price surges. The logic of making money is simple—align with market cycles. The crypto m
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Let's look at the logic behind today's rebound. Bitcoin yesterday found support and rebounded at the small upward trend line around 89,000. This kind of swing rebound is a normal technical correction and aligns with the short-term rhythm expectation.
However, from a larger cycle perspective, the more likely scenario is a continuation of the decline—specifically in the region around 2. Area. The current pattern features a typical descending flag consolidation; usually, after this kind of consolidation, the price will break down further.
In the short term, resistance at the previous high of arou
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ChainComedianvip:
From 97,000 to 98,000, it's time to consider shorting. I agree with this logic.

Another flag pattern consolidation and a retracement down. It feels like every time it's this explanation. Will this time result in a reverse slam?

Small ZEC positions tested in batches are more prudent. If the key level at 500 really breaks, then there is indeed potential.

Oh my, with such heavy selling pressure, how dare you go short on rallies? What kind of mental toughness is that?

Breaking down from the flag pattern consolidation? I feel like this pattern always ends up as a false breakout.

Did ZEC land at 400 before? Luckily, I didn't chase the high. A swing trading approach still requires patience.

The shorting strategy is clear, but I'm just worried that it might not reach 98,000, and instead, there might be a surprise first.

The suggestion to build positions in batches is good; it's definitely better than going all-in and waiting for death.
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#美联储降息 $ETH $BNB $ZEC
Key Signal Release: The Trump administration expects to implement more aggressive rate cuts by 2026, which could have profound impacts on the global financial market structure.
At first glance, it appears to be a routine move to stimulate the economy, but the underlying logic is more complex. What does a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve mean? First, mortgage costs are expected to decrease, potentially leading to a housing market rebound. Second, a low interest rate environment usually drives up valuations of risk assets—this presents both opportunities and trap
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CounterIndicatorvip:
2026? Buddy, I can't wait that long. The current market trend is the key right now.

This round of rate cuts, to put it simply, is monetary easing. It’s quite favorable for the crypto world, but inflation is a trap we’ll have to jump into sooner or later.

Rate cuts → housing market warms up → capital finds an exit. When that happens, everyone will pour into crypto. How could it not rise?

I'm just worried about policy reversals. Any small change could cause a crash, so you need to watch your stop-loss carefully.
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