Just caught TC Energy's full year 2025 results and there's some genuinely solid operational momentum here worth paying attention to. The company set 15 flow records across their pipeline systems last year, which is pretty remarkable when you think about what that means for asset utilization and market demand.



What stood out to me most is the safety-first culture driving these operational wins. They achieved their strongest safety performance in five years, and that's directly translating into exceptional reliability metrics. In Q4 alone, they hit all-time delivery records on their U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines at 39.9 Bcf, and their Canadian systems reached 33.2 Bcf on a single day in January. That's real evidence of how critical their infrastructure is becoming.

The financial picture is pretty encouraging too. Q4 comparable EBITDA came in at $3.0 billion, up 13 percent year-over-year, with segmented earnings jumping 15 percent. For the full year, they're looking at $11.0 billion in comparable EBITDA versus $10.0 billion in 2024. That's meaningful growth in a period when most infrastructure companies are navigating uncertainty.

What really caught my attention is their capital deployment strategy. They sanctioned $0.6 billion of low-risk, in-corridor expansion projects in Q4, and they're now running open seasons on expansion projects that are seeing massive oversubscription. Their Columbia Gas Transmission expansion received bids for 1.5 Bcf/d against a proposed capacity of 0.5 Bcf/d, which tells you something about the underlying demand dynamics. The Crossroads Pipeline open season just launched for up to 1.5 Bcf/d capacity targeting Northern Indiana, Illinois, Iowa, and South Dakota.

They're also maintaining strong discipline on capital allocation. The company successfully placed $8.3 billion of projects into service in 2025, coming in over 15 percent under budget. Projects like the VR expansion on their Columbia system and the WR project on their ANR system in Wisconsin both hit their timelines and cost targets.

Looking at 2026, they're guiding for comparable EBITDA of $11.6 to $11.8 billion with capital expenditures of $6.0 to $6.5 billion. They're also raising their dividend for the 26th consecutive year, which speaks to management confidence in the business model. The 3.2 percent increase to $0.8775 per share reflects how stable and predictable their cash flows remain.

The broader context here is that North American natural gas demand is expected to grow significantly through the decade, driven by LNG exports, power generation, and data center buildouts. TC Energy's positioned right at the center of that trend with diversified exposure across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. They've got 98 percent of their comparable EBITDA backed by rate-regulated or long-term take-or-pay contracts, which means limited commodity exposure and pretty solid visibility to cash flows.

Their debt-to-EBITDA ratio came in at 4.8x, and they're tracking toward their long-term target. The combination of operational excellence, disciplined capital allocation, and structural tailwinds in their end markets makes this worth following if you're thinking about North American energy infrastructure exposure.
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