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3.30 Midday Market Analysis
🔥#BTC Deep Analysis of Bitcoin
Looking back at the early rebound point, the white arrow indicates a false bullish candle, and many friends probably chased the rally blindly. As a result, the market quickly dropped to new lows, leading to being trapped and stop-losses being triggered—this is a typical market trap!
Many are confused about why there was a sudden rebound here. The core logic can be seen at the yellow mark on the left: after breaking through the previous resistance level, it turned into support. The initial test of support naturally results in a technical rebound, which is precisely the main force’s key layout to lure more buyers. Remember the market rule: seemingly perfect rebounds often hide the deepest traps.
A more critical core flaw: this rebound was entirely on decreasing volume, with serious divergence between volume and price. A rise without capital support is just a false move. The overall trend is clearly downward, and the main strategy is to rebound and short; chasing longs against the trend is a big taboo, and volume-decreasing rebounds should not be followed blindly!
Key attack and defense levels to remember:
✅ Trend Reversal Signal: Break above 66,781 with volume, regain the flag pattern zone, target rebound to 68,121; if unable to hold this level, bulls have no reversal momentum.
✅ Steady Low-Range Buying Opportunity: Patience to retest the previous low at 64,918, and if stabilized without breaking, consider adding to long positions; if it breaks below the previous low, look directly at support at 64,243.
Short-term forecast: The volume-decreasing rebound is likely to test around 68,000, clearing out the bearish liquidity above, then fall back again. Do not operate impulsively; wait for the best signals.
Short-term precise trading strategies:
Aggressive right-side: Break above 67,130 with volume, follow the trend to go long; if volume breaks below 66,688 and the rebound fails to recover, decisively go short, with strict stop-loss management.
Hourly level: Hold above 67,130, target 68,144 - 69,169; if unable to break through, maintain weak oscillation.
4-hour level: Break below 66,371, target 65,658 - 64,944.
Resistance tiers: 67,130 → 68,144 → 69,169
Support tiers: 66,668 → 65,794 → 64,918
🔥#ETH Trading Strategy for Bitcoin
Clear control of short-term attack and defense levels:
▪ Bullish setup: Volume breakout above 2027, follow the trend to go long; retest at 1970 confirms support, try a small long position; place buy orders at 1933 for a long setup.
▪ Risk management and stop-loss: Stop-loss immediately if below 1936; if the long position breaks below 1906, exit unconditionally.
▪ Bearish setup: Rebound to the 2075 resistance level, try a small short; if it breaks above 2111, stop-loss and exit; volume breakdown below 2006, follow the trend to go short.
Trend analysis by levels:
Hourly: Hold above 2027, look toward 2047 - 2075 zone;
4-hour: Break below 1990, target 1956 - 1909;
Technical pattern: ETH’s triangle structure has broken down, with 2046 as the key strong resistance. Only an effective breakout can open upward space, aiming for the 2093 high.
Be alert to risks: Beware of the formation of double-tops or double-bottoms at key levels. Once formed, a deep correction could start at any time. Always take precautions in advance.