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This Week's Global Key Data and Event Preview (Must Read)‼️
The direction of the US stock market will directly influence the rhythm of the crypto market.
This week isn't the busiest in terms of data,
but every milestone is very critical.
Oil, consumption, employment—all are core variables that "set the direction."
🗓 Monday
① (TBD) Multiple countries discuss whether to continue releasing strategic oil reserves
Focus: Oil price expectations
Last time the release was announced,
oil prices plummeted,
and risk markets rebounded overall.
If this time they continue or expand the release signals:
It alleviates inflation,
which is positive for the market.
Conversely, if they tighten:
Oil prices may rebound,
and markets could face pressure.
🗓 Wednesday
① (20:15) US March ADP "Small Non-Farm"
Last month: 63,000 (a good performance)
Expected this month: 45,000 (neutral to weak)
Focus on:
Whether employment is starting to cool down.
If significantly below expectations:
Markets will bet on "slowing rate hikes,"
which favors risk assets.
② (20:30) US February Retail Sales Data
This data is very important:
Directly reflects consumer vitality.
Strong consumption: high inflation pressure, bearish.
Weak consumption: economic cooling, bullish (rate expectations decrease).
🗓 Thursday
① (20:30) US Initial Jobless Claims
No need to overanalyze the details:
Just avoid a sharp deterioration.
If claims suddenly spike:
Markets will worry about economic issues,
leading to increased volatility.
🗓 Friday (Key‼️)
① All day Good Friday
US stock markets are closed.
Note: This is not a "data-free day."
② (20:30) US March Non-Farm Payrolls (Big Non-Farm)
Last month: -92,000 (very bad)
Expected this month: +54,000 (market somewhat optimistic)
③ (20:30) US Unemployment Rate
This week's core logic: Employment vs. Inflation.
Current environment:
Signs of rising inflation are emerging,
so the market is betting on a key point:
Worse employment data and lower rate hike pressure are market positives.
If the following occur:
Non-farm payrolls below expectations,
Unemployment rate rises,
markets may rebound with a "positive logic."
Conversely:
Very strong employment,
rising inflation pressures,
and increasing rate hike expectations,
which put markets under pressure.
Operational reminder:
US markets are closed on Friday, but data will still be released.
For those planning to trade, remember to position early or control your holdings
to prevent "prices moving before the market opens."
Brothers, this week is:
Surface calm, but undercurrents are surging.
Don't be reckless—watch the data and manage your positions.