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🚨 A not-so-good signal: The mini death cross has already appeared in the US stock market, and the US Treasury yields are approaching 4.4% —
The technical outlook has already deteriorated, volatility is rising, and market positions are overly concentrated in tech stocks and high-volatility assets.
If key levels are broken, the sell-off triggered by capital flows could be very severe.
After the death cross appeared in March 2022, $BTC experienced a maximum drawdown of over 60%. The real driver was rate hikes and liquidity tightening; the death cross was just a confirmation signal.
This time also has a similar feel:
The Nasdaq has already shown strong sell signals + suspected death cross, and BTC has also given a near 10% short-term pullback.
Everything seems to be heading toward a critical point.
The market is urgently in need of a macro directional shift: either a ceasefire or rate cuts. Otherwise, the tension from high interest rates and high positions will be hard to ease naturally.
So, is it still too early for Trump’s TACO timing?