At 1:00 PM Eastern Time, a meeting of global significance is about to take place. Both sides are expected to discuss a peace plan containing 20 clauses, with the goal of ending the conflict before the end of the year.

The market is highly perceptive. As soon as a hint of a ceasefire emerges, risk appetite immediately increases—stocks, commodities, and cryptocurrencies all benefit. Assets with high sensitivity like Bitcoin are especially so; any signals of geopolitical easing can trigger a rebound.

The key lies in how strong investors' expectations for peace are. Whether a true ceasefire is achieved or not may trigger a wave of risk appetite rotation in the short term. But it also depends on subsequent developments—the gap between promises and implementation is often the most vulnerable point for market setbacks.