Gate News message. On April 6, according to CryptoRank data, political-themed trading volume makes up the largest share in the predicted market for the first quarter of 2026, while sports-related themes account for only a very small portion. The top five instruments by trading volume, in order, are: 「2026 Super Bowl champion: Seattle wins」 (trading volume $704 million, win probability at issuance 0.8%), 「Trump Federal Reserve chair nomination: Kevin Warsh」 (trading volume $617 million, win probability at issuance 34.0%), 「March 2026 Federal Reserve decision: hold steady」 (trading volume $260 million, win probability at issuance 57.5%), 「U.S. government shutdown by January 31: yes」 (trading volume $157 million, win probability at issuance 28.5%), and 「Portugal presidential election: Antonio José Seguro」 (trading volume $136 million, win probability at issuance 9.5%). The data source is CryptoRank.io and a certain prediction market platform.
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