A prediction platform has launched the event "Will North Korea conduct a missile test before March 31?" with the probability currently reported at 66%.

Polymarket Odds for Warsh Fed Chair Confirmation Surge to 85%

Gate News message, April 24 — Odds on Polymarket for "Warsh confirmed as Federal Reserve chair by May 15" surged to 85% from 27%, a gain of 211%, according to market reports. Senator Thom Tillis, a member of the Senate Banking Committee, previously stated he would block Warsh's Fed chair nomination

Polymarket Odds for Vance Fed Chair Confirmation Before May 15 Surge to 85%

Gate News message, April 24 — Polymarket odds for Vance being confirmed as Federal Reserve Chair before May 15 have surged to 85% from 27%, a jump of 58 percentage points in recent hours, according to Odaily Seer monitoring. The spike follows reports that the U.S. Department of Justice is expected

Polymarket Adds Steam Login, Balancer Hacker Swaps 7,000 ETH for BTC, Aave Chan Proposes Deposit Vault

Gate News message, April 24 — Polymarket introduced a new Steam account login option, expanding access methods for users. Saturn increased its STRC holdings, with total positions valued at $33 million. A Balancer hacker converted 7,000 ETH into 204.7 BTC, equivalent to approximately $15.88 million,

Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Crypto.com, Coinbase Over Sports Contracts

The Wisconsin Department of Justice filed three complaints in Dane County on Thursday targeting Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, Polymarket, and Crypto.com, along with their affiliates, alleging they offered sports-related event contracts that function as illegal gambling under state law. Wisconsin Atto

U.S. Special Operations Forces Chief Warrant Officer Arrested: Used Classified Intelligence to Bet on Maduro on Polymarket, Profited $400k

The U.S. Department of Justice in the Southern District of New York has indicted U.S. Army Special Forces officer chief Gannon Ken Van Dyke, alleging that he used classified information to bet on Polymarket on the outcome of Maduro’s arrest, earning approximately $409,881 (13 transactions, 2025-12-27 to 2026-1-26). The charges include illegal use of confidential information, theft of nonpublic information, commodity transaction fraud, wire fraud, and illegal money transactions, among others. It is described as the first federal prosecution centered on insider trading and arbitrage with a prediction market, which may affect future regulatory directions.

Wisconsin sues Kalshi prediction market platform, alleging it may be an unlicensed gambling operation

According to an official press release issued by Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul on April 23, Wisconsin has sued Kalshi in Dane County, alleging that the platform’s prediction market business, which operates in the form of “event contracts,” falls within the legal definition of gambling under Wisconsin law and constitutes an unlicensed gambling activity.