BlockBeats News, January 16 — The market is entering a new phase dominated by policy signals, as the four-year cycle model of Bitcoin, long considered the core narrative, is weakening. Analysts point out that the influence of politics and macro policies on prices is gradually surpassing on-chain factors such as halving events.
Although the US stock market is expected to perform strongly in 2025, Bitcoin's performance has been relatively lagging, reflecting that the market is more driven by liquidity expectations and policy timing rather than overall risk appetite. Under traditional models, the cycle should be entering its late stage in early 2026, but current trends indicate investors are delaying this phase, with policy factors taking the lead.
Institutional analysts believe that pre-election fiscal stimulus and the blurred boundaries between fiscal and monetary policies are creating an environment similar to “financial repression.” In the context of high government spending and suppressed real interest rates, traditional bonds and credit become less attractive, increasing the appeal of digital assets.
Looking ahead to 2026, the market generally believes that Bitcoin's trajectory will depend more on policy directions and regulatory developments, especially the US crypto market structure legislation. Analysts note that institutional demand driven by ETFs remains a long-term support, but policy changes will determine whether institutional funds further enter the market.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
ADA Price Outlook as Cardano Lands LSE Tokenized Deal
Key Insights
Cardano tokenized a Hannover Re reinsurance product and listed it on the London Stock Exchange, expanding blockchain use in regulated institutional markets.
ADA price holds within a descending wedge as support at $0.2400 remains intact while resistance near $0.2550 and $0.2824 l
CryptoNewsLand3h ago
SUI Price Eyes $1.10 Breakout as Whale Positions Rise
Key Insights
SUI trades at $0.96 with RSI at 53.66, showing neutral momentum while maintaining upside room for expansion toward resistance levels.
Whale positioning at 70% long signals strong institutional confidence, aligning with rising open interest and steady capital inflows despite
CryptoNewsLand3h ago
Shiba Inu Open Interest Surges 13.45% in 24 Hours as Futures Activity Accelerates
SHIB open interest rose 13.45% to $69.79M with price up ~3% to $0.000006231. Futures inflows higher; volumes surged. Technicals show 50-day MA support, RSI 55, MACD bullish; potential move beyond 0.000010.
Abstract: This report reviews SHIB market activity on Gate News as of April 22. SHIB open interest rose 13.45% to $69.79 million, with the price up about 3% to $0.000006231. Futures inflows exceeded outflows and total volumes rose, while spot and futures taker data showed mixed biases. Technically SHIB found support near the 50-day MA, RSI sits at 55, and the MACD turned positive, signaling a potential breakout and a possible rally beyond the $0.000010 level after a confirmed channel breakout.
GateNews3h ago
Shiba Inu Breakout Gains Strength as Volume Surges
Key Insights
Shiba Inu’s breakout above the triangle pattern gains strength as rising volume and higher lows confirm growing demand and a sustained bullish market structure shift.
Derivatives activity jumps significantly with volume surpassing $249 million while open interest rises,
CryptoNewsLand4h ago
XRP Price Near $1.45 as ETF Inflows Build Pressure
Key Insights
Institutional XRP ETF inflows reached $41.6 million over four days, lifting assets under management above $1.08 billion and strengthening market confidence.
XRP faces strong resistance near $1.45, where CoinGlass data highlights a short max
CryptoNewsLand4h ago
PENGU Eyes $0.009 as Open Interest Surge Signals Breakout
Key Insights
PENGU’s tightening Bollinger Bands and neutral RSI show controlled accumulation, indicating momentum buildup that typically precedes significant price expansion in volatile markets.
Open interest climbed despite falling prices, reflecting new capital entering positions and
CryptoNewsLand5h ago
