-
XRP tests the monthly trend ribbon, a level that historically confirms long term bearish momentum.
-
Past ribbon losses in 2018 and 2022 preceded sharp declines of over 50 percent.
-
Daily and intraday structures remain weak, with sellers controlling price below key resistance.
Ripple’s XRP has reached a technical zone that long term traders treat with caution. The monthly chart now sits at a level that previously marked major trend shifts. This area has acted as a dividing line between stability and prolonged downside pressure. During earlier cycles, similar conditions appeared before steep declines unfolded. Current price action adds tension to the setup as momentum weakens. Market participants now face a decisive moment that history suggests should not be ignored.
On $XRP ’s monthly chart, losing the trend ribbon has historically marked the shift into full bearish momentum.
In 2018 and 2022, the moment XRP lost the monthly trend ribbon, it wasn’t just a pullback — it confirmed a broader bearish trend, followed by –65% and –54%… pic.twitter.com/CiE92YfpIX
— STEPH IS CRYPTO (@Steph_iscrypto) December 27, 2025
Why the Monthly Trend Ribbon Matters for XRP
On the monthly chart, the trend ribbon functions as a long term momentum filter. Price holding above the ribbon reflects a bullish momentum with structural support. A sustained move below the ribbon signals a bearish regime where downside momentum dominates. This tool has remained consistent across multiple XRP market cycles, making the current test especially important.
In 2018, XRP lost the monthly trend ribbon after months of sideways movement. That loss confirmed a broader bearish trend rather than a temporary correction. Price followed with a sharp decline of roughly 65 percent as sellers gained firm control. The market structure broke down gradually, leaving little room for recovery.
A similar setup emerged during the 2022 cycle. XRP again failed to hold the monthly trend ribbon after extended consolidation. Once confirmation arrived, downside pressure expanded rapidly. Price dropped by about 54 percent, reinforcing the ribbon’s role as a reliable momentum signal. In both cases, the breakdown preceded the largest losses of each cycle.
Short Term Structure and Downside Risk
Today, XRP trades directly at this same technical boundary. Price action reflects hesitation rather than confident accumulation. Volume remains muted, showing limited conviction from buyers. A confirmed monthly close below the ribbon would align closely with past bearish signals. Historical behavior suggests trend deterioration rather than short term volatility once confirmation appears.
The daily chart strengthens this cautious outlook. XRP continues to trade within a well defined descending channel formed after the broader breakdown. Price remains capped beneath channel resistance and stays below both the 100 day and 200 day moving averages. This structure reflects sustained selling pressure across higher timeframes and limits upside potential.
The $1.80 region continues to act as a demand zone. Buyers have defended this area during recent pullbacks. Despite that support, recovery attempts remain shallow and lack follow through. Former support between $2.40 and $2.50 now serves as strong resistance. Repeated rejection from this zone reinforces the bearish bias.
As long as price remains below the channel midline, risk stays elevated. Upside moves under these conditions appear corrective rather than impulsive. The daily structure favors continued consolidation or a gradual drift toward lower demand zones unless resistance breaks decisively.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
LOBSTR Wallet Integrates XRP Ledger Support, Unlocking Access for 1.3M+ Users
Abstract: The article surveys XRPL ecosystem expansion, highlighting wallet integrations (LOBSTR with XRPL Commons; Exodus custody tools) and rising institutional interest from Mastercard, BlackRock, and Franklin Templeton as XRPL real-world asset activity grows toward a multi-billion-dollar valuation, underpinned by fast settlement and low fees.
Summary: LOBSTR adds XRP Ledger support via XRPL Commons; Exodus expands XRP/RLUSD custody tools. Mastercard, BlackRock, and Franklin Templeton monitor XRPL as RWA activity climbs toward $2.5B, enabling fast, low-cost settlements.
GateNews1h ago
XRP Price Near $1.45 as ETF Inflows Build Pressure
Key Insights
Institutional XRP ETF inflows reached $41.6 million over four days, lifting assets under management above $1.08 billion and strengthening market confidence.
XRP faces strong resistance near $1.45, where CoinGlass data highlights a short max
CryptoNewsLand3h ago
XRP Expands to Solana as wXRP Drives DeFi Access
Key Insights
Wrapped XRP on Solana surpasses 834,000 tokens, enabling new DeFi access while strengthening cross-chain liquidity and expanding XRP utility beyond its native ledger.
Ethereum and Solana dominate DeFi activity, while XRP Ledger trails significantly, driving the need for
CryptoNewsLand3h ago
XRP Breakout Holds as XRPL Lending Vote Gains Momentum
XRP shows weekly strength, trading above EMAs after breaking from a descending wedge; XRPL advances XLS-65/66 lending upgrades with pooled vaults and fixed-term loans; derivatives rise in volume, open interest, and options activity.
Abstract: This report notes XRP's persistent weekly momentum and price strength above key moving averages following a breakout from a descending wedge. It covers XRPL validators voting on XLS-65 and XLS-66, enabling native lending, pooled liquidity vaults, and fixed-term loans to expand on-chain financial activity. It also reports rising derivatives participation, with higher trading volume, open interest, and a surge in options activity, suggesting increasing trader positioning for a continued breakout.
CryptoNewsLand4h ago
XRP Breakout Holds as XRPL Lending Vote Gains Momentum
XRP shows weekly strength, trading above EMAs after breaking from a descending wedge; XRPL advances XLS-65/66 lending upgrades with pooled vaults and fixed-term loans; derivatives rise in volume, open interest, and options activity.
Abstract: This report notes XRP's persistent weekly momentum and price strength above key moving averages following a breakout from a descending wedge. It covers XRPL validators voting on XLS-65 and XLS-66, enabling native lending, pooled liquidity vaults, and fixed-term loans to expand on-chain financial activity. It also reports rising derivatives participation, with higher trading volume, open interest, and a surge in options activity, suggesting increasing trader positioning for a continued breakout.
CryptoNewsLand4h ago
XRP Surges 24,602% Despite Ripple's Ongoing Sales — Debate Reignites Over Token Dump Claims
Viral thread claims Ripple sells XRP monthly to fund operations and dilute holders. It cites 100B total supply, 55B locked, 1B/month release, 70–80% relocked, and 200–300M XRP for ops (~$400M/mo); critics say price tracks Bitcoin and escrow dilution fades.
Abstract: The article examines claims that Ripple systematically sells XRP to fund operations, detailing the tokenomics (100B XRP, 55B in escrow with 1B/mo release and relocking, 200–300M for ops) and presenting counterarguments that XRP price movements align more with Bitcoin, not ongoing sales, while escrow shrinkage reduces future dilution and XRP has posted large gains since inception.
GateNews4h ago
