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ETH has dropped to 2050. To be honest, I’m a bit nervous too.
Brothers, I’m not pretending anymore. This morning I was watching the market, and ETH dropped back below 2050. My first reaction wasn’t “analysis,” it was a curse: “Again?” The daily chart broke below the moving averages, MACD showed a death cross, trading volume is rushing out… You guys can see these data yourselves.
Let me say something real: at this position, it looks more like a “downtrend continuation,” not a “reversal to catch the bottom.” Why? Because real money is flowing out. Yesterday, ETFs sold 17,000 ETH, and open interest on futures contracts decreased by 7% in one day. This isn’t retail investors dumping; it’s the “smart money” closing positions. I also cut a small part of my futures yesterday—painful, but I had to. But! I really don’t think it will crash to 1800 or 1600.
Two reasons:
1️⃣ The most frightening macro phase might be over. The previous sharp decline was probably due to fears of the Federal Reserve acting again and chaos in the Middle East. Now, Trump is signaling an end to the conflict, and the market’s worst sentiment has likely passed. You ask if that’s good news? Not exactly great news, but at least it won’t keep falling because of that.
2️⃣ The Ethereum Foundation has spent over 20,000 ETH—millions of dollars—locking in their own funds, staking them officially, and saying they will continue buying. Honestly, these guys are often criticized for “selling but not buying,” but this time they’re actually putting their money where their mouth is. Whether it’s for show or not, real money beats empty talk. My plan: do nothing for now. If it drops near 2030 again, I’ll take a small position, with a stop-loss below 2000—if I lose, it’s just the cost of a hotpot. If you want to bottom fish: don’t go all in. Split your buy into two parts between 2000-2030, each about 10-20% of your position. Add more if it drops to 1950. If you’re already in the game: as long as there’s no risk of liquidation, just relax. Many people wanted to wait at 2000 the past two months but couldn’t.
Finally, a heartfelt word: Making money in crypto is never about “precise bottom fishing,” it’s about “being in the game when it’s falling.” Don’t panic, don’t get caught up, and don’t become a joke. Those who endure this round will still be the ones bragging in the next. $BTC $ETH $SOL