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Central bank officials always want to act quickly when signs of weakness appear in the labor market. But this time, they need to be cautious—past decisions to rapidly adjust policies have left many pitfalls.
The problem is that labor market data is often lagging and prone to misinterpretation. Reacting hastily to surface fluctuations can lead to policy swings. Looking at past economic cycles, there are numerous cases where central banks changed course due to overinterpreting employment data from a single month.
The current situation is even more complex. The global economic environment is changing rapidly, and focusing solely on domestic labor indicators may cause us to miss genuine systemic risks. True wisdom lies in maintaining patience and waiting for a more complete data picture to emerge, rather than being frightened by every market tremor. This is crucial for market stability.