Vitalik Answers Community Questions

Recently, Vitalik answered a series of questions from community members, covering various topics including personal interests, Ethereum development, artificial intelligence, and cryptocurrencies. Here is a summary of the main points:

Vitalik stated that his favorite books are "Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality" and "Unsong". He believes that the Zuzalu pop-up city experiment has been successful, validating many core assumptions.

Regarding L2 governance, Vitalik hopes to achieve ZK-EVM validation within Ethereum in the future. He believes that the goal should be achieved with a minimum level of fixedness in L1, while maintaining flexibility.

Regarding the catastrophic risks faced by humanity, Vitalik believes that artificial intelligence and engineered super pandemics are the greatest threats, followed by nuclear war and AI-enhanced totalitarianism, with climate issues potentially ranking around fifth.

Vitalik stated that he has seen improvements in the community culture of Bitcoin Cash. He believes that the idea of DAI supporting physical assets has some merit, but it needs to be designed carefully.

In terms of artificial intelligence, Vitalik estimates that the timeline for achieving AGI is between 2029 and 2200, with a disaster probability of about 10%. He hopes to maintain human subjectivity but anticipates that it will ultimately shift towards non-biological forms.

Vitalik does not agree with the practice of introducing tokens into various things, nor does he like large-scale capital misallocation and unrealistic pure beliefs. He believes that technologies such as proof aggregation and recursion are crucial for quickly proving complex statements.

Overall, Vitalik remains optimistic about the future of Ethereum and cryptocurrencies while also being vigilant about emerging technologies like artificial intelligence. He calls for strengthening the development of privacy protection and decentralized tools.