PANews reported on March 18th that according to Derive, a decentralized on-chain Options platform, the current calm in the BTC (BTC) market may only be temporary, and significant price Fluctuation may be expected in the future. Derive founder Nick Forster stated that the key Fluctuation rate of BTC has approached a monthly low, with the current weekly at-the-money Fluctuation rate dropping to 49%, compared to 91% at the beginning of the month. Nevertheless, the Fluctuation rate has a mean reversion property and may rise to the 60%-70% level seen in February in the future.
In addition, potential Fluctuation triggers include changes in the situation in Ukraine or adjustments to the encryption regulatory policies under the Trump administration. The interest rate decision to be announced by the Federal Reserve may also have an impact on the market. Although the market expects 2 to 3 rate cuts this year, BlackRock believes that the space for rate cuts may be limited, and persistent inflationary pressure may restrict the magnitude of rate cuts.
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