#KICKS#握🌿。這幣，啥情況了

BITCOIN Price Analysis: Every big player and serious investor knows that once the FED starts cutting rates, we usually see a strong correction afterwards. In my opinion, the September meeting can and should be considered as the first significant rate cut, given current market events. It’s the most important one compared to the last cut since 2020 in September 2024, which showed no signs of correction. Back then, people were calling for a strong pullback, while I said clearly that the September 2024 cut was not significant at all, and I was proven correct. In terms of market understanding, such a FED pivot is considered a soft landing, followed with consolidation and stabilization, which the FED indeed managed to achieve. My prediction then proved more than correct, ignoring all the garbage talk about stocks and crypto that the markets are “always” dropping after the first cut. That is simply not true. The real drop happens only after the first SIGNIFICANT cut, when uncertainty kicks in and opinions split. That is why this cut is completely different, and why it will lead to a strong correction in stocks and crypto. Don’t compare this cycle to others or to other emergency cuts; each rate cut is unique and should be analyzed on its own terms. I strongly believe that this rate cut will play a key role in the market correction that will take place in September. The next FOMC meeting is set on 17th of September. 比特幣價格分析： 每一位資深玩家和嚴肅投資者都清楚，當联准会(FED)啓動降息週期後，市場往往會出現深度回調。結合當前市場態勢，我認爲2024年9月的議息會議應當被視爲本輪週期首次具有實質意義的降息——相較於2020年以來的歷次降息，這次會議的重要性截然不同。2024年9月那次降息並未引發回調，當時市場普遍預期將出現劇烈回撤，而我明確指出那次降息根本不具備實質影響力，事後驗證了這一判斷。 從市場認知維度看，這類联准会政策轉向通常被視爲軟著陸信號，後續會伴隨市場整固與企穩——联准会確實成功實現了這項目標。事實證明我的預測完全正確，那些關於"首次降息後股市和加密貨幣必然暴跌"的論調純屬無稽之談。真正的市場轉折點出現在首次具有重大意義的降息之後，當不確定性開始彌漫、市場觀點出現嚴重分歧時。這正是本次降息與既往截然不同的根本原因，也解釋了爲何它將引發股市和加密資產的深度回調。 切勿將本輪週期與歷史週期或緊急降息相提並論——每次降息都具有獨特性，需要基於其特定背景進行分析。我堅信本次降息將成爲引發9月市場修正的關鍵催化劑。下一次聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議定於9月17日舉行。 #杰克逊霍尔会议# #美财长贝森特谈比特币储备# #BTC# #ETH# #比特币价格预测与分析#

#NEKO# KICKS 這兩個幣，一個吊樣

🚨【Trump Tariff Shock: Will BTC Crash or Break Out?】 Trump just dropped the bomb — August 1 is the final deadline for tariff hikes. "No extensions," he declared. For equities, it’s an earthquake. For Bitcoin, it’s a stress test. 🔻 What does this mean for crypto? Trump announced: U.S. tariffs are officially back on. No delays, no mercy. Markets were hoping for a softer stance — what they got was even tougher rhetoric. Translation? Rising trade tensions, risk of imported inflation, global asset repricing. The crypto market, as always, reacts hard to macro headlines — and this one hits deep. 📉 Flashback: What happened last time tariffs hit? Trump played this card back in April. Crypto market cap lost 25% in a week. BTC dumped ~20%, alts got obliterated. Stocks sank, gold soared. Funds fled to stablecoins or went full risk-off. Lesson? When trade war escalates, markets de-risk fast. Survival mode kicks in. 📊 What’s BTC’s setup now? BTC has been stalling just under $120K. Bulls tried to break out multiple times. Psychological support: $100K Technical support: $110,530 Resistance: $123,218 Simple logic: Hold above $110K = strength Lose $100K = risk of $90K or lower Break $123K = new ATH cycle in play 📉 ETF Inflows Slowing July saw huge inflows, pushing BTC to $119K. But recently? Inflows drying up — some funds are even exiting. Institutions are playing safe, sitting out the Trump risk. On-chain stablecoin liquidity is still strong. Money hasn’t left — it’s just parked, waiting. ⏰ When’s the action window? Trump’s speech is on August 1 (U.S. daytime), which means in Asia: expect volatility around 2AM–6AM (Taiwan time) on Aug 2. → Morning charts could already reflect major moves. → Asia open may extend it, followed by Europe/US amplifying the swing. → This is a full 24-hour volatility event. 🧠 How to prepare? Don’t use high leverage. Missing a move > blowing up. Stay liquid in cash/stables. Scale in only on sharp dips. Watch the $100K level. It’s the pivot point. Don’t chase open — wait for confirmation from U.S. session. 🧭 Bottom Line: This Trump tariff round may not cause a crash — but it will cause a shakeout. Shakeouts breed fear. But they also breed opportunity. Whoever survives this move… will be the one riding the next breakout. #BTC #Bitcoin --------------------- 【川普關稅聲明對 BTC 的影響，該怕還是該撿？】 川普說話了——8/1 是最後期限，"不會延長"。 對股市來說，這是地震。 對比特幣來說，這是壓力測試。 🔻消息解讀：為什麼川普一句話能讓加密市場震動？ 川普宣布：美國對外關稅恢復加徵，8/1 準時上路，沒有任何延長空間。 市場原本預期他可能會鬆口，結果沒，態度反而更強硬。 這代表什麼？貿易緊張升級，美國經濟可能面臨輸入型通膨壓力、全球資產重新定價。 加密市場一直以來很吃消息面，這種宏觀級利空，短線避險情緒飆升，BTC 自然也遭池魚之殃。 📉歷史借鏡：4 月的關稅震撼彈發生了什麼？ 川普 4 月也玩過一次關稅牌，當時加密整體市值一週蒸發 25%，BTC 跌兩成，山寨幣直接爆掉。 美股跌，黃金漲，資金轉向穩定幣或場外觀望。 所以我們學到： 當貿易戰升級，市場會先砍風險資產，先求活著再說。 📊現在 BTC 處在什麼位置？技術面怎麼看？ BTC 最近一直卡在 12 萬前面打轉，多頭已經測試好幾次了。 短線 10 萬是重要心理支撐，110,530 是技術支撐，上面壓力在 123,218。 簡單說： 如果 BTC 能撐住 11 萬、橫盤不破，就是強。 如果破 10 萬，就可能看到 9 萬甚至更深。 但如果突破 12.3 萬，那就是開啟新高行情。 📉ETF、資金流怎麼看？ 7 月 ETF 資金大舉流入，幫 BTC 推上 11.9 萬，但最近明顯降溫，甚至出現淨流出。 代表機構也開始觀望，不想賭這一波川普風暴。 穩定幣流動性還在，資金沒離場，只是停泊中。 場外資金很多，但都在等一個明朗方向。 ⏰台灣時間什麼時候會有劇烈波動？ 川普在美國 8/1 白天講話，台灣時間約落在 8/2 凌晨～清晨。 也就是說，你醒來時價格可能已經劇烈反應過一次。 亞洲早盤可能會延續波動，接下來歐盤、美盤進一步放大行情。 這是一場橫跨 24 小時的劇本。 🧠要怎麼應對？我的建議是： 不要開高槓桿，寧願錯過，不要做錯。 守住現金／穩定幣彈藥，逢大跌才考慮分批接。 觀察 100K 是否守得住，這是轉折點。 不要一開盤就追單，等美股方向再確認一次。 🧭最後總結一句話： 這波川普關稅，不一定會崩，但一定會震。 震出恐懼，也是震出機會。 撐過這波，BTC 就會篩出真正的強者。

🚨【Trump Tariff Shock: Will BTC Crash or Break Out?】 Trump just dropped the bomb — August 1 is the final deadline for tariff hikes. "No extensions," he declared. For equities, it’s an earthquake. For Bitcoin, it’s a stress test. 🔻 What does this mean for crypto? Trump announced: U.S. tariffs are officially back on. No delays, no mercy. Markets were hoping for a softer stance — what they got was even tougher rhetoric. Translation? Rising trade tensions, risk of imported inflation, global asset repricing. The crypto market, as always, reacts hard to macro headlines — and this one hits deep. 📉 Flashback: What happened last time tariffs hit? Trump played this card back in April. Crypto market cap lost 25% in a week. BTC dumped ~20%, alts got obliterated. Stocks sank, gold soared. Funds fled to stablecoins or went full risk-off. Lesson? When trade war escalates, markets de-risk fast. Survival mode kicks in. 📊 What’s BTC’s setup now? BTC has been stalling just under $120K. Bulls tried to break out multiple times. Psychological support: $100K Technical support: $110,530 Resistance: $123,218 Simple logic: Hold above $110K = strength Lose $100K = risk of $90K or lower Break $123K = new ATH cycle in play 📉 ETF Inflows Slowing July saw huge inflows, pushing BTC to $119K. But recently? Inflows drying up — some funds are even exiting. Institutions are playing safe, sitting out the Trump risk. On-chain stablecoin liquidity is still strong. Money hasn’t left — it’s just parked, waiting. ⏰ When’s the action window? Trump’s speech is on August 1 (U.S. daytime), which means in Asia: expect volatility around 2AM–6AM (Taiwan time) on Aug 2. → Morning charts could already reflect major moves. → Asia open may extend it, followed by Europe/US amplifying the swing. → This is a full 24-hour volatility event. 🧠 How to prepare? Don’t use high leverage. Missing a move > blowing up. Stay liquid in cash/stables. Scale in only on sharp dips. Watch the $100K level. It’s the pivot point. Don’t chase open — wait for confirmation from U.S. session. 🧭 Bottom Line: This Trump tariff round may not cause a crash — but it will cause a shakeout. Shakeouts breed fear. But they also breed opportunity. Whoever survives this move… will be the one riding the next breakout. #BTC #Bitcoin --------------------- 【川普關稅聲明對 BTC 的影響，該怕還是該撿？】 川普說話了——8/1 是最後期限，"不會延長"。 對股市來說，這是地震。 對比特幣來說，這是壓力測試。 🔻消息解讀：為什麼川普一句話能讓加密市場震動？ 川普宣布：美國對外關稅恢復加徵，8/1 準時上路，沒有任何延長空間。 市場原本預期他可能會鬆口，結果沒，態度反而更強硬。 這代表什麼？貿易緊張升級，美國經濟可能面臨輸入型通膨壓力、全球資產重新定價。 加密市場一直以來很吃消息面，這種宏觀級利空，短線避險情緒飆升，BTC 自然也遭池魚之殃。 📉歷史借鏡：4 月的關稅震撼彈發生了什麼？ 川普 4 月也玩過一次關稅牌，當時加密整體市值一週蒸發 25%，BTC 跌兩成，山寨幣直接爆掉。 美股跌，黃金漲，資金轉向穩定幣或場外觀望。 所以我們學到： 當貿易戰升級，市場會先砍風險資產，先求活著再說。 📊現在 BTC 處在什麼位置？技術面怎麼看？ BTC 最近一直卡在 12 萬前面打轉，多頭已經測試好幾次了。 短線 10 萬是重要心理支撐，110,530 是技術支撐，上面壓力在 123,218。 簡單說： 如果 BTC 能撐住 11 萬、橫盤不破，就是強。 如果破 10 萬，就可能看到 9 萬甚至更深。 但如果突破 12.3 萬，那就是開啟新高行情。 📉ETF、資金流怎麼看？ 7 月 ETF 資金大舉流入，幫 BTC 推上 11.9 萬，但最近明顯降溫，甚至出現淨流出。 代表機構也開始觀望，不想賭這一波川普風暴。 穩定幣流動性還在，資金沒離場，只是停泊中。 場外資金很多，但都在等一個明朗方向。 ⏰台灣時間什麼時候會有劇烈波動？ 川普在美國 8/1 白天講話，台灣時間約落在 8/2 凌晨～清晨。 也就是說，你醒來時價格可能已經劇烈反應過一次。 亞洲早盤可能會延續波動，接下來歐盤、美盤進一步放大行情。 這是一場橫跨 24 小時的劇本。 🧠要怎麼應對？我的建議是： 不要開高槓桿，寧願錯過，不要做錯。 守住現金／穩定幣彈藥，逢大跌才考慮分批接。 觀察 100K 是否守得住，這是轉折點。 不要一開盤就追單，等美股方向再確認一次。 🧭最後總結一句話： 這波川普關稅，不一定會崩，但一定會震。 震出恐懼，也是震出機會。 撐過這波，BTC 就會篩出真正的強者。

#KICKS# 加油加油加油 🚀🚀🚀

#KICKS# 🚀 🚀🚀

#KICKS# 100x 裝載的 死拿

#VERT# 真糟糕？還是 KICKS？

#MicroStrategy kicks off 2025 with a fresh #比特幣 收購

BAC今天上gate，目前超募240倍 一款像頭號玩家的遊戲，還是挺有意思的 投資者包括：HashGlobal、Matr1x、GateLabs、Stratified Capital、W Labs、Nothing Research以及包括Ash，BTCdayu, Joseph A.C., LaoBai, Piers Kicks, Saku和Victor在內的高淨值個人和KOL。

漲幅最大的交易理念 📈📊 🚀 $SAGA 到目前爲止✅，已經多次嘗試打破這種設置中的阻力區 我會毫不猶豫地做多這次突破📈 在我🙃 KICKS之前，請密切關注這裏的突破