‍#Gate广场四月发帖挑战

‍#加密市场回升

Have the U.S. and Iran stopped fighting? How should we strategize

On April 15, U.S. President Trump said in a recent interview that the war against Iran has “ended.” At the same time, he hinted that in the next two days, the U.S. and Iran may return to the negotiating table in Pakistan. Driven by the news, U.S. stocks surged overnight, gold rose in tandem, crude oil fell sharply, and after Bitcoin briefly spiked higher, it then oscillated and pulled back; as of now, it’s not up but down. At present, it looks like the chances that both sides of the U.S.-Iran conflict will stop fighting and seek peace are very high. The main point of contention—Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons—is that, under the proposal to pause uranium enrichment technology research for 20 years, Iran is very likely to make a concession and address the urgent problem of U.S. forces pressing right up at the doorstep.

I think the “ceiling” of this rebound is in the 76000-77500 area—this is the middle line of the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart. If it breaks through this level, it would mean the trend could reverse, but for now, that seems difficult. Aggressive family members can open a short position from this level and wait for the price to rebound to above 76000 to add to their position; for the more prudent family members, it’s safer to wait to open a short position near 76000.

Given the changes in the situation, and with the direction of gold remaining unclear, investors can focus on setting up short positions in Bitcoin on rallies. Meanwhile, considering that the U.S.-Iran war may be moving toward an end, you can also short some crude oil on rallies. For gold, since the market direction is still uncertain, it’s recommended that everyone mainly adopt a wait-and-see approach.