As of April 13, 2026 (Monday), highly focused: the collapse of U.S.-Iran talks → market plunges → a liquidation wave → high-level oscillation with divergence; combined with U.S. regulatory bills and institutional fund movements.

🔥 I. #1 Hotspot: U.S.-Iran breaks down, market plunges (evening of April 12)

• Event: The U.S.-Iran Islamabad negotiations completely break down, with no consensus to extend the ceasefire.

• Market (48 hours):

◦ BTC: from $73,700 to $71,500, down ~3%

◦ ETH: from $2,325 to $2,210, down ~5%

◦ Broad-based selloff: SOL, BNB, XRP all fall 3%–6%

• Liquidation data (24h):

◦ 106,360 people liquidated

◦ Total amount $306 million (longs $166 million > shorts $140 million)

• Core logic:
Ceasefire expectations fail → safe-haven demand heats up, risk appetite cools → funds withdraw from high-volatility tokens.

II. The U.S. “Digital Asset Clarity Act” (Key Week)

• Time: April 13 (today) — the Senate reconvenes

• Progress:

◦ Stablecoin provisions 99% resolved, DeFi provisions finalized

◦ April 21–25 — committee markup review

◦ Expected: full-Senate vote in May, signing in June, implementation in July

• Impact:
Bitcoin/Ethereum will be clearly defined as digital commodities (CFTC regulation), and the compliance doors for institutions will be fully opened.

III. Key Levels for BTC/ETH and Technicals

• BTC (April 13, 07:00):

◦ Current price: around $70,800

◦ Support: $70,000 / $69,000 (strong support)

◦ Resistance: $73,000 / $75,000 (failed breakthroughs multiple times)

• ETH:

◦ Current price: around $2,180

◦ Support: $2,100

◦ Resistance: $2,300–$2,400

• Market view:
High-level oscillation with divergence; BTC holds up better, while Altcoins pull back more as risk appetite declines.

IV. Institutional and Macro Voices

• Dalio (April 13):
The global monetary system is unstable; the U.S. dollar depreciates; BTC and gold become the core safe havens.

• BTC ETF (March):
In 2026, the first monthly net inflow is ~ $12 billion; institutions continue to accumulate.

• Analyst warning:
Bollinger Bands tighten, volatility is extremely low—an unleashing of a 40%+ one-way trend could happen at any time.

V. Market Focus Today (4.13)

1. U.S.-Iran blockade: The U.S.’s comprehensive maritime blockade of Iranian ports takes effect tonight at 22:00

2. Bill review: The Senate Banking Committee initiates the bill process today

3. Technical turning point: Whether the 70,000 level holds or breaks determines the short-term direction