So far, many people have discussed whether gold can continue to follow the 2011 pattern. I'll talk about the issue related to moving averages.

For a pattern like this, the biggest problem is the spatial scale. In the same direction, the more remaining space there is, the more different your maneuvering methods will be. Because everyone knows that Trump's remaining time is limited and fiscal space is insufficient, the outcomes of his extreme actions are also more predictable (taco becoming the norm).

The 2011 bull market was actually part of the 2009-2011 bull market segment, with an increase of 800-1800 times, a 125% rise. In this round of the 2024-2026 bull market, the increase is between 1800-5400 times, a 200% rise.

In other words, the current bull market's rise is far exceeding that of the previous one (we segment based on the reaction of prices to moving averages; although there was a continuous bull market for several years before, at least in this segment, the proportions differ).

This directly leads to the current long-term cycle where the amplitude of moving average swings is much smaller than in 2011. (To be continued) #Gate广场四月发帖挑战