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World Uncertainty Index just hit an ATH.
- Higher than 2008.
- Higher than COVID.
Look at what's happening:
• S&P 500 at ~6,370
• Gold around $4,400-4,500
• Dollar Index clinging to ~100
• Fear & Greed in Extreme Fear (50 Days+)
Longest streak since FTX. Hit 8 on March 24.
Lower than FTX. Tied with COVID. Close to Luna.
Bitcoin? ~$67k. Down 48%
from its ~$126k October high.
This feels like 2019 all over again.
> Gold ran first. BTC did a 10x after.
> Gold broke out in 2019.
> BTC didn't move until late 2020.
The lag is the pattern.
> Dollar weakening.
> Equities dumping.
> Live U.S.-Iran conflict.
> Oil past $100.
The world is screaming "we don't trust the system anymore."
Hot war. Oil above $100. Fed may hike, not cut.
That changes the timeline. Not the thesis.
Patience is the real alpha.