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Forecasting the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market for the current downtrend both temporally and price-wise.
However, this forecast is conditional and based on specific conditions and steps that must occur to confirm, God willing.
1- Bitcoin trading within the price range of 64,000 at most to 100,000 during the third quarter ( July, August, September )
- The bottom is expected to form in the fourth quarter temporally
( October, November, December )
Between 54,000 and 44,000.
2- Bitcoin trading within the price range of between 44,000 at most to 64,000 during the third quarter
( July, August, September )
- The bottom is expected to form in the fourth quarter temporally
( October, November, December )
Between 34,000 and 24,000.
Summary:
- Temporally, the bottom is expected to form between October and December 2026, God willing,
- Price-wise, the bottom will form between 44,000 and 24,000.
- The determination of whether the bottom is at 44,000 or 24,000 depends on Bitcoin’s performance during the third quarter—July, August, September of this year—and the price range in which Bitcoin trades during this period.
- The point of failure for the analysis and the end of the bear market, entering a bullish cycle, will be confirmed by
a) Bitcoin breaking the last all-time high and closing a weekly trading session above the previous all-time high, or
b) breaking 105,000 and trading for two weeks above 105,000.
This confirms the end of the downtrend and the start of a new bullish cycle.
Otherwise, we remain in a bear market until the end of 2026, with occasional rebounds and corrective rises from time to time.