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Greeks.live: Major Crypto Options Expiry Tomorrow, Sentiment Remains Bearish
On March 26th, Greeks.live posted on social media stating that the Q1 quarterly expiry is approaching, with the largest options expiry of the year set for tomorrow, affecting nearly 40% of options. Key expiry data: BTC Max Pain: Currently pegged at $75,000, which appears unlikely to be reached given the current situation. Put/Call Ratio: Remains around 0.6, relatively low, indicating lower trading volume for put options, but overall sentiment is still bearish. Implied Volatility (IV) Warning: An IV Crush is imminent. Front-end implied volatility near the expiry date remains firm. However, after tomorrow’s expiry concludes, a significant IV Crush (volatility collapse) is highly probable. Buyers of short-term options are currently at a significant disadvantage, while sellers have a clear advantage. Whales and Block Trades: Block trade data on Deribit today shows that smart money is aggressively rolling over positions. Many institutions have closed out positions expiring tomorrow and have heavily established positions in out-of-the-money call options for June and September.