Bitcoin's Golden Cross Signal: Potential for Next Rally Ahead - Wait 30-40 Days

Bitcoin’s market has recently been signaling a significant technical indicator. The Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse metric has formed a golden cross, which in the past has marked the beginning of explosive upward momentum. Although there have been recent price fluctuations — reaching $74,000 on Friday and currently around $71.59K — technical analysts believe that the next explosive move is not far off.

What does a cross signal in the Inter-Exchange Flow indicate?

Chief blockchain analyst CW recently highlighted this technical development. This metric tracks Bitcoin flow between spot and derivative exchanges. When a golden cross occurs — meaning two key moving averages cross — it typically signals bullish momentum. According to CW, historically, such cross signals have been followed by large rallies, but not immediately.

How long did it take after golden crosses in previous cycles?

Historical data reveals an interesting pattern. After the end of the 2019 bear market, BTC took about 30 days for a sharp vertical rise. In the 2023 cycle, this interval increased to 40 days. Based on this, analyst CW believes that the next month could be volatile for Bitcoin, but the trend has clearly shifted. In his words, “The trend has reversed, and a explosive upward rally is not far away.” This suggests a significant move could occur within the next 30 to 40 days.

Caution for late buyers and support levels

Trader Merlin shared an important perspective on Bitcoin’s cyclical pattern. According to his analysis, each cycle tends to humiliate late buyers. The October peak of over $126,000 can be called a “blow-off top.” Afterward, the pattern always repeats: liquidity dries up, momentum slows, and price reverts toward the macro trendline.

For the current cycle, a key support level is around $60,000. As long as BTC does not permanently lose this level, the cycle structure remains intact. Merlin states that if this support breaks, history could repeat itself — implying a deeper decline. However, the current golden cross signal makes this possibility less likely.

Conclusion: The next 30-40 days are critical

Considering technical indicators and analyst opinions, the next month to a month and a half could be decisive for Bitcoin. The combination of the golden cross signal, historical cycle analysis, and support levels points to a potential bullish scenario. Investors should exercise caution during this period and pay attention to the $60,000 support level, which is crucial for the cyclical structure.