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Here's a viewpoint: BTC's own bearish factors have basically completed their release.
The consensus around the four-year cycle and the historical "experience" of consecutive crashes triggered by the 2022 liquidity crisis:
Allow expectations to complete the release of bearish factors in a relatively short timeframe (April 2025~February 2026) directly.
BTC dropped directly to near previous highs and has since been oscillating around that level.
Going forward, whether BTC's bottom is at 60k, 50k, 40k... mainly depends on the macro environment and US equities.