Crypto cycles 2022: The macro bottom is forming

The current scenario of bitcoin$BTC reminds me quite a lot of the structure of 2022, but I don't see it as a fixed mold to force the market to repeat.
For me, the real value of looking back at history lies in understanding why a model from the past worked, and then putting it alongside the current context to see how similar it is, rather than trying to find a perfect fractal.
In the previous cycle, the process of creating a macro bottom did not come with a neat reversal, but rather a prolonged erosion phase. Prices continuously broke through important support zones, liquidity shrank, leverage was gradually washed out, and sentiment shifted from expectation to acceptance.
What I am currently observing has many similar touchpoints, especially the way money flow has become more cautious and the price structure continuously returns to test long-term support zones instead of bouncing back immediately.
If this 'rhythm' scenario continues, the price dropping below the 60,000 dollar mark is not absolutely negative for me, but could serve as a completion step for a deeper correction process and pave the way for a new macro bottom.
But I do not see this as a certain prediction. It is merely a reference framework for me to manage risk, allocate capital, and control expectations in an uncertain context.
After more than six years of observing the market, what has helped me avoid many mistakes is not the ability to accurately predict each price point, but rather understanding the market's 'rhythms' and maintaining discipline when everything becomes chaotic. For me, that is the true advantage.