【$BTC Signal】Two-way Order Book Battle! 1H Oversold Rebound vs 4H Downtrend

$BTC The 1H timeframe is oscillating narrowly around 63000, RSI has fallen below 30 into the oversold zone, indicating a technical rebound demand. However, the 4H timeframe remains in a clear downtrend channel, with EMA20 (65501) acting as strong resistance, and the trend has not reversed. Currently, it is a typical end of consolidation, about to choose a direction.

🎯Direction: Wait and see (Two-way orders)

⚡Scenario A (Long): If the 1H level can hold above 63500 and volume increases, then confirm the oversold rebound has started.

🎯Entry/Order: Breakout buy @ 63550 (Reason: Hold above the previous small platform high on the 1H level, confirming rebound momentum )

🛑Stop loss: 62800 (Reason: Break below recent swing low of 62655, rebound invalidated )

🚀Target 1: 64500 (Reason: Dynamic resistance at EMA20 on the 4H level )

🚀Target 2: 65200 (Reason: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous decline )

⚡Scenario B (Short): If the price fails to rebound and continues to be suppressed by the 4H trend.

🎯Entry/Order: Sell on breakdown @ 62800 (Reason: Break below key support, confirm continuation of the 4H downtrend )

🛑Stop loss: 63550 (Reason: Rebound breaks through the long entry level, invalidating the short structure )

🚀Target 1: 62000 (Reason: Psychological support at round number )

🚀Target 2: 61000 (Reason: Measure the equal amplitude of the previous decline )

🛡️Trade Management:

- Position size suggestion: Light position (Reason: Unclear direction, a speculative trade with higher risk )

- Execution strategy: Choose only one of the two scenarios to execute, do not place orders simultaneously. If either side is triggered and the first target is reached, reduce position by 50% and move stop loss to entry level. If the price oscillates within the order zone without breaking through, cancel the orders and observe again.

Deep logic: Market depth data shows sell volume (11.5 BTC at 63173.7) far exceeds buy volume, indicating heavy short-term selling pressure. But open interest remains stable, with no signs of panic liquidation, suggesting bulls and bears are in stalemate. The 1H RSI shows initial divergence, but confirmation is needed. The core contradiction lies in the fight between 1H oversold rebound momentum and 4H downtrend, waiting for one side to win before following.

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