【$AR Signal】No Position — Weak rebound in a downtrend, waiting for a clear signal

$AR In a long-term downtrend, experiencing a weak rebound, with price suppressed below EMA20 (1.967), overall structure still bearish.
🎯Direction: No Position (NoPosition)
Market Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows continuous declines, with buying strength steadily weakening (Buy/Sell Ratio < 0.5). The funding rate is negative (-0.0025%), but open interest (OI) remains stable, ruling out large-scale short squeezes or major sell-offs, indicating a natural decline driven by market sentiment.
Hardcore Logic: RSI (29.77) has entered oversold territory, but no volume-confirmed reversal candlestick pattern has appeared. Depth imbalance (-1.97%) indicates selling pressure slightly exceeds buying pressure, and the order book has accumulated a large number of sell orders in the 1.857-1.876 range, forming an overhead resistance wall.
Current Strategy: Price is below all key EMAs, with no obvious buying absorption or structural breakdown signs. Until the price effectively breaks above EMA20 with rising OI (capital inflow), any rebound should be viewed as a correction within the downtrend. Be patient and wait for the price to show clear signs of stabilization at key support levels (such as the 1.80-1.82 zone), like bullish engulfing or Pin Bar, or a volume breakout above EMA20 before considering long entries.
Trade here 👇 $AR
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