Law on Clarity: what Polymarket will provide regarding the likelihood of acceptance by 2026

ShamedApeSeller · 2026-02-02T14:15:58+00:00

The Polymarket platform currently estimates a 54% chance that clarity legislation will be officially passed this year, reflecting mixed market expectations about its success and highlighting its significance in the crypto community.

ShamedApeSeller

2026-02-02 14:15:58

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Polymarket, one of the largest event prediction platforms in the world, currently estimates a 54% chance that clarity legislation will be officially passed within this year. According to Odaily, this metric reflects the collective market participants’ assessment of the likelihood of the bill’s success.

This indicator suggests that the market is divided in its expectations: on one hand, 54% support the bill’s success, showing notable backing for the initiative. On the other hand, there is significant skepticism regarding the consequences of passing the legislation. The forecast of how much time remains until the end of 2026 makes the success of the bill a matter of the coming months.

Predictions on the Polymarket platform are often considered an indicator of true market sentiment, as participants risk real funds on their forecasts. The fact that this issue has garnered such attention indicates the importance of clarity legislation in the crypto community and among investors.

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