February 1, 2026 13:45 (UTC+8), ETH is currently trading at $2440, with a daily low of approximately $2242, down over 10%. Volume expansion has led to panic selling, short-term bears dominate, oversold but no reversal signal.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $2480-2500 / $2600; Support: $2250 / $2200 / $2000 (Strong support at $2200, lifeline at $2000).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, price significantly deviates from the moving averages, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(: Below 25, deep oversold, may have a weak rebound but no reversal.
- MACD): Daily chart(: Bearish crossover, strong bearish momentum; Volume: Increasing volume on decline, selling pressure is concentrated.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $2480-2500 on rebound, stop-loss at $2550, target $2350-2250, break below to watch $2200-2000, position size ≤ 2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, consider light positions in batches: around $2250 at 1-2%; add another 1-2% if $2200 stabilizes, total position ≤ 3%, stop-loss below $2000.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $2200 is effectively broken, medium-term target $2000-1800, wait for weekly volume to decrease and RSI divergence to re-enter position.

⚠️ Risk Control Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent chain liquidations.
- Capital: Liquidity contraction may amplify volatility, beware of slippage.
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC movements, US stocks, and macroeconomic fluctuations; news may intensify volatility.
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