RIVER's technical breakthrough in capital battles: the fierce confrontation between whale shorts and market longs

Currently, in the cryptocurrency market, capital flows often determine the short-term direction of coin prices. RIVER, as a recent focal point, is at a critical price juncture filled with uncertainties, with a large amount of capital engaged in intense long and short battles here. Behind the apparent market fluctuations lies a complex interplay of whale institutions’ strategic positioning and retail investors chasing highs. Those who can understand the true capital flow will grasp the opportunity for profit.

Whale Capital’s Short Trap: Market Truth Revealed by Data

According to on-chain data observations, there are massive short positions on RIVER. These seemingly “smart money” large short orders actually create a dangerous game—they hope to profit from price declines but have not fully considered the buying power of current long positions. Whale funds are accumulating in low-level short contracts, indicating institutional bearish expectations, but this could also serve as a trigger for a reverse movement.

Leverage Liquidation Risks: The Inevitable Turning Point After 80x Leverage

The RIVER market is filled with high-multiplier leveraged trading, with 80x leverage positions drawing particular attention. Such extreme leverage means that even a 1.25% price increase could lead to full liquidation of short positions. Once the liquidation wave begins, forced liquidations will push the coin price higher, creating a self-reinforcing upward cycle—this is what is known as a “price explosion” phenomenon. Similar scenarios have occurred multiple times in history, each causing unexpected and intense volatility.

Technical Triple Defense Line: Decisive Moments of Support and Breakout

Currently, RIVER’s technical structure shows three key price levels. The first support is around $45.10—this is the last line of defense. If capital continues to defend this level, the price will gain upward momentum, targeting $60. Once this support is broken, the market will quickly drop to around $35, where high-leverage shorts will face catastrophic stop-losses. Each time the price reaches a critical level, it is a moment for market participants to reallocate funds.

Capital Allocation Strategy: Precise Entry Under Risk Control

For fund managers planning to participate in RIVER trading, the strategy should be executed in phases: during the entry phase, position in the $38.50-$42.00 range, which allows for a balanced space for both downside and upside potential. Once entered, targets should be set in layers—$54.00 as the first profit-taking point, $62.00 as a further goal, and an ideal ultimate target of $69.00. Meanwhile, stop-loss should be set at $34.50, the last line of defense to protect capital safety.

The core logic of this plan is: use limited capital risk to gain greater upward potential. The key is to recognize that every fluctuation in the market is capital reallocation. Understanding this allows you to make the right decisions at the right moments.