Discussion on the linkage between gold$XAU and Bitcoin$BTC

In early 2021, gold experienced a major peak, with its total market value reaching approximately 12 trillion, then gold peaked. In the following two months, the main upward wave in the crypto market started, with Bitcoin jumping from 30,000 to 60,000. Until November of the same year, the total market value of the entire crypto market reached 3 trillion, exactly one-quarter of the gold peak market value at that time.
Looking at this round, the structure is almost a replay. On the gold side, the total market value has already reached 34 trillion, silver has started to accelerate, and the crypto market is still around 3 trillion. If we use the same ratio as the previous cycle, the target range naturally falls at 1/4 of the gold peak market value, which is close to 8 trillion.
Gold bull markets typically last about two years. Only when gold truly peaks and capital begins to flow back into risk assets can the crypto market have the conditions to complete the next expansion. What needs to be done now is simply to patiently wait for this precious metals cycle to run its course, which is most likely around the end of 2026. Before that, we need to make strategic arrangements. ‌
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