Many people believe that AI integration into prediction markets is an efficiency revolution, but in the eyes of traders, this is purely "logic poisoning."
The savage transfer of pricing power burden: forcing the market to price a "second-order latent variable." Traders not only have to judge event P(A), but also evaluate the model parser's P(B). This is not prediction; it's fortune-telling about the "personality flaws" of LLMs. The disappearing idempotency: don't be superstitious.
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Many people believe that AI integration into prediction markets is an efficiency revolution, but in the eyes of traders, this is purely "logic poisoning."
The savage transfer of pricing power burden: forcing the market to price a "second-order latent variable." Traders not only have to judge event P(A), but also evaluate the model parser's P(B).
This is not prediction; it's fortune-telling about the "personality flaws" of LLMs.
The disappearing idempotency: don't be superstitious.