I've been answering this question every day—"When will the altcoin season finally arrive?"
Let's take a look at the most core indicator: BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index).
Looking back at the historical records makes it clear. During the 2017 cycle, BTC.D dropped from 96% in March to 60% in mid-May. In 2021, it happened again, falling from 60% in April to 40% in mid-May. See the pattern? It only takes about 1-2 months before the altcoin season fully erupts.
And now? It's time for you to have patience. You've waited 3-4 years; giving up at this critical moment might be the most heartbreaking thing you do.
Interesting signals in the market are flashing red—$IWM hitting new highs, gold and silver also reaching new highs, and various risk assets showing signs of movement. The rhythm this year is similar, with the key window pointing to around mid-May. BTC.D is very likely to bottom out and rebound there. (Although some details may vary.)
But there's a prerequisite: Bitcoin must hit a new all-time high.
Last October, when Bitcoin just reached a new high, there were hardly any retail investors in the market. If Bitcoin stalls again this time, altcoins will at most bounce a couple of times, with no substantial opportunity. But conversely, once Bitcoin breaks its all-time high, FOMO-driven retail investors will flood in, and your altcoins can truly take off.
I am very confident about this. Bitcoin reaching a new high isn't a "if" question, but a "when" question. I believe I have already figured out this timing.
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FUD_Whisperer
· 21h ago
Wait until mid-May? I think it's unlikely. BTC needs to break new highs first, otherwise it's all empty talk.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeLover
· 21h ago
Wait, BTC.D only explodes when it drops to 40%? So, when are we now? Has anyone calculated it?
View OriginalReply0
LuckyBearDrawer
· 21h ago
The line at btc.d I've been watching for two months, and it really is like this—history is just repeating itself.
I really can't wait anymore, but giving up now would indeed be a loss.
Mid-May's statement isn't new; I said the same thing last year, and what was the result?
The core still depends on btc breaking new highs first; otherwise, it's all pointless.
Will retail investors' recent entry cause a market explosion? Feeling a bit anxious.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeLady
· 21h ago
ngl, btc.d timing is literally the gas oracle we all need rn... watched this cycle play out three times and the pattern hits different when you've actually got skin in the game lol
I've been answering this question every day—"When will the altcoin season finally arrive?"
Let's take a look at the most core indicator: BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index).
Looking back at the historical records makes it clear. During the 2017 cycle, BTC.D dropped from 96% in March to 60% in mid-May. In 2021, it happened again, falling from 60% in April to 40% in mid-May. See the pattern? It only takes about 1-2 months before the altcoin season fully erupts.
And now? It's time for you to have patience. You've waited 3-4 years; giving up at this critical moment might be the most heartbreaking thing you do.
Interesting signals in the market are flashing red—$IWM hitting new highs, gold and silver also reaching new highs, and various risk assets showing signs of movement. The rhythm this year is similar, with the key window pointing to around mid-May. BTC.D is very likely to bottom out and rebound there. (Although some details may vary.)
But there's a prerequisite: Bitcoin must hit a new all-time high.
Last October, when Bitcoin just reached a new high, there were hardly any retail investors in the market. If Bitcoin stalls again this time, altcoins will at most bounce a couple of times, with no substantial opportunity. But conversely, once Bitcoin breaks its all-time high, FOMO-driven retail investors will flood in, and your altcoins can truly take off.
I am very confident about this. Bitcoin reaching a new high isn't a "if" question, but a "when" question. I believe I have already figured out this timing.