Capturing this one-hour window is crucial.

Ethereum's current price is ¥21,100 (about $3,022.99), up 2.14% in 24 hours, but in the last hour, it hardly moved, only up 0.02%, which seems a bit weak.

**The market situation is as follows:**

The price is stuck around ¥21,100. There is resistance at ¥21,300 (the 24-hour high) above, and support at ¥20,100 below (the low). In the short term, it’s oscillating within this range, and the direction is still unclear.

Trading volume is average; no obvious volume expansion signals in the past hour. Currently, the main players are existing funds fighting it out; new money hasn't entered much, so there's a lack of momentum. By the way, quotes across different exchanges vary quite a bit—highest at ¥27,200, lowest at ¥19,700, with a clear spread. Major platforms like Binance and OKEx have concentrated liquidity, while risks on small and medium exchanges tend to be amplified.

**Technical outlook:**

The Bollinger Bands show the price near the middle band (around $3,183.16). The upper band resistance is about ¥21,300, and the lower band support is ¥20,800. The channel hasn't changed much; volatility remains low, so short-term breakthroughs are limited.

The MACD fast and slow lines are about to converge, and the histogram just turned slightly red, but momentum is insufficient. Neither bulls nor bears show clear volume signals. It’s just waiting to see who moves first.

The RSI is at 53.19, right in the neutral zone between 50 and 60. It hasn't reached overbought (70) or oversold (30), so there’s still room up and down. No need to worry too much now, nor chase high blindly.

**Key points to watch next:**

If the price can break above ¥21,200 with increased volume—specifically, volume expanding by more than 30% compared to the previous hour—it might attempt a short-term test of ¥21,300 (24-hour high). But beware of “false breakouts”: if it doesn’t hold for more than 3 minutes, avoid chasing the high.

Conversely, if it falls back below ¥21,000, focus on whether ¥20,800 (Bollinger lower band) can hold. If it breaks down with increased volume, it could quickly drop toward ¥20,500. In that case, bulls should be alert for a short-term correction.