Have you ever thought about a question? The cycle has never been exactly four years, but around four years, and this "around" can vary by half a year before or after. Three and a half years is also acceptable.

I used to think that the cycle had changed or no longer existed, but that was very naive. Cycles will always be there; even if they change, they won't undergo drastic changes in a short period, only gradual ones, just like Earth's rotation and revolution—changes that humans cannot perceive.
Last year, I firmly believed that over 120,000 was the top. Judging this doesn't require any extraordinary skills; the top of each bull market cycle has diminishing gains, and understanding this is enough.
Therefore, the next Bitcoin bull market top will not exceed 200,000.