2026-01-21 20:22:17

According to trading data, the market is generally optimistic about gold's performance in 2026, with a 47% probability of becoming the best asset, far surpassing Bitcoin's 39% and the S&P 500's 14%. This result is not unfounded—gold has risen over 12.6% this year, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and dollar depreciation.

In contrast, Bitcoin's performance has been somewhat disappointing. Since the beginning of the year, it has only increased by 0.3%, and in the past week, it has fallen over 10%, completely becoming a puppet of risk assets. Currently, Bitcoin is stuck between technical levels, with support in the $80,000-$86,000 range and resistance around $97,000-$100,000. Both bulls and bears are repeatedly tugging within this narrow range, waiting for the next breakout opportunity. The shift in market sentiment is prompting a re-evaluation of the investment logic of crypto assets.

BTC0,83%

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WhaleWatcher

· 5h ago

Gold has been really strong this time, I have to admit I underestimated it... Anyway, the crypto market is now just bouncing back and forth, let's see if it can break 100,000.

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MerkleTreeHugger

· 5h ago

Gold is just pretending again; whenever there’s a geopolitical stir, it rises. I’ve long grown tired of this safe-haven asset game. Although Bitcoin has been a bit disappointing lately, its long-term logic is fundamentally different. --- 47% versus 39%, close enough, after all, it’s all just gambling. --- Wait, can a 12.6% increase in gold really outpace crypto? That depends on the cycle length, don’t just focus on the immediate. --- Stuck at the 97,000-100,000 range, just break through. If you’re anxious, just convert your fiat into Bitcoin and sleep peacefully. --- A 14% chance for the S&P to laugh to death, those traditional finance old-timers are getting more and more panicked. --- Disappointing, but Bitcoin’s risk premium isn’t enough to make me panic. Let’s see what happens next year. --- It’s "reassessing investment logic" again, every bear market is the same, I’m tired of hearing it. --- Gold’s surge is ecstatic, while Bitcoin is called a marionette. This public bias is really outrageous.

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