ROSE has indeed been on a hot streak recently. I ran the data through a model and found that for this type of asset, after a 24-hour increase of over 25%, there is approximately a 68% chance of a pullback within the next 48 hours.

From a technical indicator perspective, the current signals are somewhat conflicting. The 1-hour RSI has already reached 65.3, and the 4-hour RSI is at 67.4, both approaching overbought levels. However, the issue here is that the 1-hour MACD histogram value (0.000295) has started to show signs of weakening, and more importantly, the trading volume has suddenly dropped by 98.1%, indicating that the enthusiasm for chasing the high has diminished.

The current price is at 0.02 USDT. Based on historical volatility data, it has reached the upper edge of recent fluctuations. I backtested similar patterns, and the probability of a short-term correction to the 0.0185 to 0.0192 range is about 65%. Continuing to add positions at this level, considering the risk-reward ratio, is not very cost-effective.

So my approach is simple—wait and see. The model has not yet provided a clear counter-signal with a win rate exceeding 55%. For the next steps, I set two trigger points: if the price falls back to around 0.0185 and stabilizes, while the 1-hour RSI drops below 40 and volume begins to pick up, then consider a small long position; conversely, if ROSE directly breaks through 0.021 and stabilizes on the 1-hour chart, then we need to reassess the strength of this trend. For now, prioritizing position management is the key.