Revealing the token release schedule of a major lending protocol can be quite daunting for many. Over the coming months or even a year or two, tokens locked by seed rounds, private placements, teams, and advisors will be gradually unlocked—an unavoidable reality.
The problem is—these tokens were acquired at extremely low costs, and now the market price has already given them hundreds or even thousands of times in paper gains. Such a large profit margin hanging overhead, combined with the selling pressure from unlocks, is essentially like holding a "Sword of Damocles" above the token price.
The market is clearly digesting this expectation. Each time a major unlock window approaches, panic often triggers a wave of decline. This is not just a matter of token price; it has deeper implications for the protocol itself: if the price continues to decline, community morale will suffer, the incentive effects of the tokens will weaken, and even the treasury’s value may shrink. As a result, the overall attractiveness of the ecosystem diminishes.
To break this deadlock, the team needs to find ways to hedge against this inevitable "flood release." There are basically three approaches: First, genuinely improving the fundamentals, such as explosive growth in protocol revenue to support the price; second, establishing a strong deflationary mechanism, using buybacks and burns to absorb selling pressure; third, designing innovative locking incentive schemes to give token holders a reason to hold.
If none of these are implemented, the token economy can easily fall into a vicious cycle—decline triggers panic, panic leads to more selling, and selling further depresses the price. This is deadly for any project.
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FloorSweeper
· 6h ago
This unlock plan clearly indicates a dump; insiders have already calculated the numbers.
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NFTragedy
· 15h ago
The Sword of Damocles is indeed hanging overhead, but to be honest, it still depends on whether the team's real performance can keep up.
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IntrovertMetaverse
· 01-21 22:01
The cost of seed round is just a few cents, now selling for hundreds of dollars. Who can withstand this... It's really a Damocles' sword.
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FlyingLeek
· 01-21 15:52
That's why I never touch projects that are still in the unlocking period, it's too damn risky.
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MissingSats
· 01-21 15:46
It's the same old story; I've seen through it long ago. Those teams should have figured out how to handle this by now. What are they still hoping for?
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GamefiGreenie
· 01-21 15:44
The Sword of Damocles metaphor is brilliant. Basically, early entrants are just waiting to reap the benefits from us, the bagholders.
Revealing the token release schedule of a major lending protocol can be quite daunting for many. Over the coming months or even a year or two, tokens locked by seed rounds, private placements, teams, and advisors will be gradually unlocked—an unavoidable reality.
The problem is—these tokens were acquired at extremely low costs, and now the market price has already given them hundreds or even thousands of times in paper gains. Such a large profit margin hanging overhead, combined with the selling pressure from unlocks, is essentially like holding a "Sword of Damocles" above the token price.
The market is clearly digesting this expectation. Each time a major unlock window approaches, panic often triggers a wave of decline. This is not just a matter of token price; it has deeper implications for the protocol itself: if the price continues to decline, community morale will suffer, the incentive effects of the tokens will weaken, and even the treasury’s value may shrink. As a result, the overall attractiveness of the ecosystem diminishes.
To break this deadlock, the team needs to find ways to hedge against this inevitable "flood release." There are basically three approaches: First, genuinely improving the fundamentals, such as explosive growth in protocol revenue to support the price; second, establishing a strong deflationary mechanism, using buybacks and burns to absorb selling pressure; third, designing innovative locking incentive schemes to give token holders a reason to hold.
If none of these are implemented, the token economy can easily fall into a vicious cycle—decline triggers panic, panic leads to more selling, and selling further depresses the price. This is deadly for any project.