Bet you made $400,000 with Maduro's capture raises suspicions of information leaks

Source: PortaldoBitcoin Original Title: Bet that made $400,000 with Maduro capture raises suspicions of information leaks Original Link: The capture of Nicolás Maduro by the United States early Saturday (3) sparked suspicion of insider information within prediction markets. A bet in a prediction market won $400,000, a 1200% profit on the investment, by betting that the Venezuelan leader would be removed from power by January 31.

What drew attention and raised a warning about the leak of confidential US government information is that the account was created at the end of December and made only four bets, all about US military action in Venezuela. The bettor spent $32,500 predicting Maduro would be removed from power by January 31, spending seven cents to buy each of these options.

When an event with open bets concludes, those holding the winning options receive one dollar per option. Thus, the bettor earned 93 cents for each option bought at seven cents.

According to a Wall Street Journal report, the prediction market noticed some activity before the attack, as bets related to Maduro started to rise on Friday night (2).

A user on X claims to have made $80,000 after noticing an increase in orders placed at food service units around the Pentagon, often seen as an indirect indicator of increased personnel and nighttime activities of the country’s armed forces.

Donald Trump Jr., the son of the US president, is an advisor to prediction market platforms.