2025-12-31 04:27:12

With the last day of 2025 approaching, Bitcoin is repeatedly testing around 88. Staying steady at this level under low liquidity isn't too bad.

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes released an indication—tariff battles in the first half of next year will still push up prices, and quickly returning to the 2% inflation target is unrealistic. This suggests that the pace of rate cuts may be slower than market optimistic expectations.

What more clearly illustrates the issue is the softening labor market. Slowing hiring and a rise in unemployment reflect that economic growth momentum isn't as strong as it appears on the surface. This diverges somewhat from the previous market narrative of a "soft landing."

These macroeconomic variables will continue to influence the market rhythm in the short term.

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DegenRecoveryGroup

· 01-02 10:53

The Fed's recent minutes are really a bit of a mess. The slow rate cuts have short sellers laughing to death, but on the other hand, maintaining 88 under low liquidity is also a sign of respect.

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ForkThisDAO

· 01-01 01:07

88, holding steady is the best bet now. With such poor liquidity, what else can we expect... Tariffs + inflation double whammy, rate cuts are unlikely. This market is really exhausting.

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AlphaLeaker

· 2025-12-31 04:56

88 keeps bouncing around, this liquidity really can't hold up

The Fed's move with the tariff card was well played, rate cuts are no longer an option, brothers

The story of a soft landing with rising unemployment rates is a load of crap, the market's stories need to wake up

Next year in the first half, it all depends on how these two factors play out, why panic?

Bitcoin is just swinging back and forth, waiting to see what surprises the New Year will bring

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JustHereForAirdrops

· 2025-12-31 04:51

Repeatedly testing around 88... This is what the market should look like. Don't listen to those who keep claiming new highs every day. Low liquidity really needs to give us a break.

Interest rate cuts won't come that quickly. Prices are something the Federal Reserve can't control either. Expect to be cut again in the first half of next year.

A softening labor market? Now that's a real signal. The idea of a perfect soft landing should have been debunked long ago.

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ZKProofster

· 2025-12-31 04:37

tbh the fed note thing is just noise at this point... everyone's already priced in the slow cuts narrative anyway. what's actually interesting here is the labor market softening — that's the real tell, not the tariff chatter. 88k holding on thin liquidity tho? mathematically speaking, that's just support doing its job. nothing elegant about it.

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BlockchainDecoder

· 2025-12-31 04:32

Data shows that the market is still digesting macro expectation differences. From a technical architecture perspective, the 88 level is essentially a psychological key point combined with liquidity exhaustion. It is worth noting that the core logic of the Federal Reserve minutes—the sticky inflation leading to delayed rate cuts—is exactly the same as the policy lag issue in 2022.

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