December 28th BTC Core Conclusion: Narrow fluctuation between $87,200 and $88,000, short-term slightly bearish with no strong trend, mainly trading within high reward-to-risk zones, total position ≤30%, beware of weekend low liquidity spikes and false breakouts without volume.

1. Key Levels (4H/Daily chart, as of 12:00 on December 28th, current price approximately $87,700)

• Support: 87200 (4H strong support / high trading volume zone), 87000 (psychological level), 86500 (strong support), 85900 (stop-loss level)

• Resistance: 87900-88000 (20-day moving average / rebound high), 88500 (previous high), 89000 (round number), 89500 (strong resistance)

2. Core Indicators and Patterns

• Trend: 4H ADX<20, oscillating without a strong trend, -DI> +DI, bears slightly favored; daily chart under 20-day moving average, high-level correction continues

• Pattern: 4H converging triangle, upper boundary at 87900-88000 with clear resistance, lower boundary at 87200 with solid support, breakout direction to be confirmed

• Indicators: MACD positive bars shrinking, momentum weakening; RSI neutral with no obvious divergence; Bollinger Bands narrowing, middle band exerting significant pressure

• Volume: Weekend liquidity is low, breakout requires volume + two consecutive 4H candles confirmation, volumeless breakouts are prone to false signals

3. Executable Strategies (with risk control)

1. Short Strategy (priority, high reward-to-risk)

◦ Entry: Light short position on rebound to 87800-87950

◦ Stop-loss: 88100 (upper boundary of 20-day moving average, exit if volume breaks through)

◦ Take-profit: 87200 (partial profit), second target 87000, if broken look at 86500

2. Long Strategy (wait for stabilization before entering)

◦ Entry: Light long position on pullback to 87200-87300 with stabilization (15-minute bullish close)

◦ Stop-loss: 87050 (if volume breaks down, abandon)

◦ Take-profit: 87800, break above to 87950, volume increase to target 88500

3. Breakout Strategy

◦ Upward breakout: stabilize above 89000 with volume, chase long, target 89500, stop-loss 88800

◦ Downward breakout: break below 87000 with volume, chase short, target 86500, stop-loss 87200

4. Risk Control and Execution Points

• Single trade size ≤10%, total position ≤30%, no leverage or low leverage

• During low liquidity periods (22:00 - 4:00 next day), open fewer new positions, existing positions should have stop-loss set in advance

• Breakouts require volume + two consecutive 4H candles confirmation, do not chase or hold against the trend