#加密资产ETF十月关键对决 💥The Survival Rules of the Crypto Market: Why Living Longer Is More Difficult Than Making Fast Gains

$CARV's candlestick charts jump erratically like an ECG, $ZKP's news flow changes in an instant, $TRU's prices vary wildly—this is the daily life in the crypto world.

Five years of actual trading have taught me one reality: this market is not a wealth creation factory, but a brutal survivor test. Those who truly make money are often not the boldest, but the ones who last the longest.

Below are the three market survival rules I have summarized.

**Rule 1: Your risk threshold determines your trading lifespan**

Most people’s first reaction to the top gainers list is—"How much can this rise?" But the correct approach should be—"How low could this asset possibly fall?"

Before building a position, ask yourself three questions:

What is the most likely way this project could fail? Technical issues or economic model problems?

Can it withstand a month without liquidity? How about half a year?

Have I clearly written down my stop-loss and take-profit points? Will I actually execute them?

Observe accounts that have gone bankrupt in the market; the common cause is—being overwhelmed by vague hopes. Only a few live within a "clear risk boundary," and these are often the final winners.

**Rule 2: Use two anchor points to navigate each cycle**

Every market cycle has its buzzwords: DeFi era talks about liquidity mining, NFT era about digital art, now some talk about RWA, Layer2… But projects that truly survive cycles only have two fundamental anchors:

**Technical Anchor**: Has this project created something irreplaceable? Or is it just copy-pasting?

**Economic Anchor**: Does the token’s supply, burn, and distribution mechanism form positive feedback? Or is it just a paper tiger?

When the deviation between narrative and these two anchors exceeds 90%, it’s not innovation—it’s a warning signal.

Bubbles themselves are not scary—what’s scary is not realizing you’re floating on a bubble.

**Rule 3: Dynamic position management is your real moat**

Position allocation is not a fixed, unchanging number, but a dynamic response mechanism to market sentiment.

Adjust flexibly based on the Fear & Greed Index:

**Extreme Fear** (index <20): 40% in mainstream coins + 60% in stablecoins for cash

**Volatility Bottoming Phase** (index 20-60): 30% in mainstream coins + 20% in sector rotation opportunities + 50% in stablecoins

**Overheated Euphoria** (index >80): Gradually convert floating profits into stablecoins, leaving only the core position of "floating profit hedging the principal"

Human nature repeats itself in every cycle. Looking back at historical K-lines, you’ll find—no one truly learns to predict the future from history, but at least you can learn: don’t fall into the same pit twice.

That’s the secret to surviving longer.