#数字资产市场动态 From 5,000U to seven-figure accounts, the key is not predicting market trends, but establishing a personal probability system.
When I first entered the market in early 2019, I watched people around me get liquidated on contracts and turn their mortgage properties around. What about my account? Although the growth wasn’t as rapid, I was never scared—maximum drawdown always stayed within 8%. This isn’t luck, but because I used three seemingly simple yet rarely坚持的方法。
**First Trick: Profit Must Have a Protection Mechanism**
The moment I open a position, I set both stop-loss and take-profit orders simultaneously. It sounds old-fashioned, but execution determines life or death. When the account reaches 10% of the principal, I immediately take 50% of the profit to a cold wallet, and the remaining continues to grow with market profits.
How does it work? When the market continues to extend, I enjoy compound interest; if it reverses, I only give back part of the unrealized gains, and the principal remains untouched. Over five years, I’ve withdrawn 37 times, with the highest single-week withdrawal reaching 180,000U. I was even flagged by the exchange once for frequent withdrawals and had to submit a video to verify the source of funds.
**Second Trick: Volatility Itself Is Income**
I’m used to looking at three timeframes simultaneously: daily charts for the big direction, 4-hour charts to define the range, and 15-minute charts for precise entries. I often open two positions on the same coin—A position chasing a breakout on the daily chart, B position shorting in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart.
Sounds complicated? Actually, it’s the same idea: $BTC and $SOL coins, 80% of the time, are just going up and down. While others get wiped out in volatility, I find ways to profit from both long and short sides. Total stop-losses combined don’t exceed 1.5% of the principal, and take-profit targets are set at over 5 times.
Remember the extreme market in 2022 with LUNA? Over 90% price swings in 24 hours. Amid such spikes, I closed both long and short positions with profits, and the account grew 42% in a single day. Market panic is my opportunity.
**Third Trick: 1.5% Stop-Loss Is the Entry Ticket**
Instead of studying how to win, it’s better to think about how to survive and win more often. I treat the stop-loss as a trading ticket—spending 1.5% to gain trend opportunities. When the market aligns, I use trailing stops to let profits run; when the trend weakens, I exit immediately.
Over the long term, my win rate is only 38%—this number might scare many. But with this 38% win rate, the risk-reward ratio is 4.8:1, and the mathematical expectation is exactly 1.9%—for every 1 yuan risked, I expect to earn 1.9 yuan on average. This means that as long as I catch two decent trends a year, my returns will far surpass those who stare at the screen every day.
In summary: the market isn’t afraid of your wrong predictions; it’s afraid that after a liquidation, you can’t get back up. That’s the brilliance of this system.
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SleepyArbCat
· 11h ago
38% win rate with a 4.8 times risk-reward ratio... I can't do the math, but just hearing it makes me feel very clear-headed.
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liquidation_surfer
· 11h ago
38% win rate, 4.8 times profit and loss ratio, mathematical expectation outperforms those overconfident people in seconds.
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MoneyBurner
· 11h ago
38% win rate earns 1.9 times, this risk-reward ratio indeed moved me, but very few people can truly stick to stop-loss.
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tx_pending_forever
· 11h ago
A 38% win rate actually earns the most, this logic is really brilliant... How did I not think of that?
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MysteryBoxOpener
· 11h ago
A 38% win rate can still be profitable, which indeed hits the blind spot in most people's thinking.
View OriginalReply0
DecentralizeMe
· 11h ago
38% win rate earns 1.9 times, math never lies. But are there really that many people who stick to this method...
#数字资产市场动态 From 5,000U to seven-figure accounts, the key is not predicting market trends, but establishing a personal probability system.
When I first entered the market in early 2019, I watched people around me get liquidated on contracts and turn their mortgage properties around. What about my account? Although the growth wasn’t as rapid, I was never scared—maximum drawdown always stayed within 8%. This isn’t luck, but because I used three seemingly simple yet rarely坚持的方法。
**First Trick: Profit Must Have a Protection Mechanism**
The moment I open a position, I set both stop-loss and take-profit orders simultaneously. It sounds old-fashioned, but execution determines life or death. When the account reaches 10% of the principal, I immediately take 50% of the profit to a cold wallet, and the remaining continues to grow with market profits.
How does it work? When the market continues to extend, I enjoy compound interest; if it reverses, I only give back part of the unrealized gains, and the principal remains untouched. Over five years, I’ve withdrawn 37 times, with the highest single-week withdrawal reaching 180,000U. I was even flagged by the exchange once for frequent withdrawals and had to submit a video to verify the source of funds.
**Second Trick: Volatility Itself Is Income**
I’m used to looking at three timeframes simultaneously: daily charts for the big direction, 4-hour charts to define the range, and 15-minute charts for precise entries. I often open two positions on the same coin—A position chasing a breakout on the daily chart, B position shorting in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart.
Sounds complicated? Actually, it’s the same idea: $BTC and $SOL coins, 80% of the time, are just going up and down. While others get wiped out in volatility, I find ways to profit from both long and short sides. Total stop-losses combined don’t exceed 1.5% of the principal, and take-profit targets are set at over 5 times.
Remember the extreme market in 2022 with LUNA? Over 90% price swings in 24 hours. Amid such spikes, I closed both long and short positions with profits, and the account grew 42% in a single day. Market panic is my opportunity.
**Third Trick: 1.5% Stop-Loss Is the Entry Ticket**
Instead of studying how to win, it’s better to think about how to survive and win more often. I treat the stop-loss as a trading ticket—spending 1.5% to gain trend opportunities. When the market aligns, I use trailing stops to let profits run; when the trend weakens, I exit immediately.
Over the long term, my win rate is only 38%—this number might scare many. But with this 38% win rate, the risk-reward ratio is 4.8:1, and the mathematical expectation is exactly 1.9%—for every 1 yuan risked, I expect to earn 1.9 yuan on average. This means that as long as I catch two decent trends a year, my returns will far surpass those who stare at the screen every day.
In summary: the market isn’t afraid of your wrong predictions; it’s afraid that after a liquidation, you can’t get back up. That’s the brilliance of this system.